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    Valero Energy's Lesson: Markets Don't Stay Bad Forever

    Sun, 01/31/2010 - 10:44 EDT - Seeking Alpha
    • Dr. Bill Conerly
    • VLO

    Dr. Bill Conerly submits: Valero Energy Corp. (VLO) is selling oil refineries that it had bought a few years ago. We used to have a shortage of domestic refining capacity, but now we have an excess—even though there has not been a new refinery built in the United States in years. Capacity at existing refineries was expanded through new technology, our demand for refined products lagged, and imports of refined products have increased, thanks to expanded capacity overseas. (It used to be that only crude oil was shipped in, but now gasoline and diesel are imported in tankers.)Who would buy those refineries from Valero? One very sharp businessman named Thomas O’Malley, the same guy who sold the refineries to Valero back in 2005. He’ll likely pick up his old properties at a steep discount to the price he received for them near the peak of the market. The Wall Street Journal quotes O’Malley: “Markets don’t stay bad forever.”Complete Story »

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    Related

    • Markets Don’t Stay Bad Forever: Cycles, Trends, and an Oil Refining Example

      Valero Energy Corp. is selling oil refineries that it had bought a few years ago.  We used to have a shortage of domestic refining capacity, but now we have an excess—even though there has not been a new refinery built in the United  States in years.  Capacity at existing refineries was expanded through new technology, our demand for refined products lagged, and imports of refined products have increased, thanks to expanded capacity overseas.  (It used to be that only crude oil was shipped in, but now gasoline and diesel are imported in tankers.)

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    • Wednesday Options Update: STI, VLO, UPS & RF

      Andrew Wilkinson submits: SunTrust Banks, Inc. (STI) – Shares of the financial services holding company are trading up 3.10% at a new 52-week high of $26.62. The SunTrust name was put in the frame on Tuesday when stories emerged that Britain’s Barclays Bank was on the prowl for an affordable U.S. bank with substantial deposit base.

    • Energy After The Peak: Merger Of Coal And Refiners Replaces Conventional Oil

      ByWilliam Mook:The chart above shows the number of refineries and their output in North America over time. Its clear following the 1970 oil shock that major integrated oil companies have not invested in refineries. This gave rise to the independent refiners as an important resource in the US. Over half of the refining capacity is now owned by independent refineries. The two largest are;

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    • Why A Valero Bid Could Make Sense For Chesapeake, Hess And Shell

      By EconMatters: Valero Energy Corp. (VLO) shares dived almost 8% on Monday, Oct. 31 to $24.65 after India's Reliance Industries said it has no plans to buy Valero. Stock price of Valero had surged 22% in 3 days after U.K. newspaper Daily Mail reported on Wed. Oct.

    • $5 gasoline by Japan quake?

      Article written by Prieur du Plessis, editor of the Investment Postcards from Cape Town blog.This post is a guest contribution by Dian Chu, market analyst, trader and author of the EconMatters blog, and Bob van der Valk, a petroleum industry analyst with 50 years’ experience.

    • Valero's Experience in Ethanol (Part 2): Investment Alternatives

      James Shell submits:Now that we know that Valero (VLO) is looking to be pretty successful with their investment in ethanol, the next question is: If Valero, or anybody else, wanted to expand their capacity, would they be better off to do it in ethanol, or in conventional refining capacity?Here is a little pro forma analysis of an investment in a greenfield oil refinery versus a new ethanol plant:

    • Valero: Is Now the Time?

      Bret Jensen submits:Company Overview: Valero Energy Corporation (VLO) operates as an independent petroleum refining and marketing company. The company operates through three segments: Refining, Retail, and Ethanol. The Refining segment engages in refining operations, wholesale marketing, product supply and distribution, and transportation operations.

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