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    Who fell in 2009: Those with current account deficits or with extra froth?

    Wed, 01/20/2010 - 20:00 EDT - Vox - EU
    • Comments

    Ashoka Mody, 21 January 2010Virtually no country was untouched by the crisis. But which countries saw the sharpest declines in GDP– and why? This column shows that those with higher growth rates before the crisis fell harder while relatively-closed economies were somewhat insulated. In contrast, the relationship between current account deficits and the decline in growth rates if fuzzier. Full Article: Who fell in 2009: Those with current account deficits or with extra froth?

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    Related

    • Rapid current-account rebalancing in the southern Eurozone

      Raphael Auer, 7 May 2013Recent data show that the current-account deficits of Greece, Italy, Spain, and Portugal have improved at a rapid pace and are actually close to being balanced. This column reviews recent research that shows this adjustment has been remarkably fast. Compared to mid-2008, these four nations have switched expenditures at a rate that is much higher than the typical rate observed during large rebalancing episodes.

    • Hedging bets on a eurozone debt crisis

      Does Europe need more hedge funds? That was one of the more intriguing questions to come out of a one-day seminar on Europe's sovereign debt crisis I attended this week in Brussels. The event was co-sponsored by the IMF and Bruegel, the respected European think tank, and it was held under the Chatham House Rule, which means I can't tell you who said what. But I can give you a few headlines.

    • Global Imbalances and the Crisis

      In today's VoxEU, Kati Suominen asks "Did global imbalances cause the crisis?, and surveys the arguments. I recently wrote a survey on the same topic for the forthcoming Encyclopedia of Financial Globalization.

    • Comparing Trade Balances With FX Rates: Will The European Miracle End?

      By George Dorgan:Eurostat recently published the European exports, imports and trade balance for the first 10 months of 2012 compared with 2011. The data and recent market reactions show that the strategy of "Current Accountists" from Angela Merkel and Hans-Werner Sinn was right (see more on the difference between Current Accountists and Capital Flightests).

    • Businesses' output declines by 4% as demand falls, finds ONS

    • Eurozone crisis: Structural reforms and country risk

      Miguel Cardoso, Rafael Doménech, 13 December 2010Are concerns over the sustainability of sovereign debt in Europe justified? This column presents data covering 16 developed countries including Greece, Italy, Portugal, and Spain.

    • Around the crisis carousel

      I'VE been thinking a lot about this Michael Pettis post from the weekend, in which he offers some economic predictions for the remainder of the decade. What's most interesting about his thinking is the way he orients his model of economic activity around balance of payment dynamics. Here's an example:

    • A three-pillar solution to the Eurozone crisis

      Javier Suarez, 15 August 2011The current Eurozone crisis shows no sign of abating. This column proposes a solution built on three pillars: A Eurozone Charter, a Eurobond Programme, and a Debt Restructuring Programme for insolvent countries.Full Article: A three-pillar solution to the Eurozone crisis

    • Getting Specific On Taxes And Growth

      As I was writing last week, one key question for those who believe that higher taxes on high-income people will lead to sharply reduced economic growth is where’s the growth given the substantial reductions in average tax burdens and the giant reductions in marginal tax rates. Another way of putting it might be to ask for some more specifics. How, exactly, are higher tax rates supposed to impoverish the country?

    • The global financial crisis: Why were some countries hit harder?

      S. Pelin Berkmen, Gaston Gelos, Robert Rennhack, James P. Walsh, 28 March 2010Despite the global reach of the financial crisis, some countries fared better than others. This column argues that this was due to differences in trade or financial openness, underlying vulnerabilities to external forces, or the strength of their economic policies. Full Article: The global financial crisis: Why were some countries hit harder?

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