By Jeffrey Rosen:
The World Bank issued its latest forecast for U.S. and global growth. Expectations were lowered from the previous report issued in June 2012. Back then, the World Bank expected real global growth of 3.0% in 2013 and 2.4% in the U.S. Now, the World Bank only expects global GDP to increase by 2.4% and the U.S. economy to expand by 1.9%.
It is perhaps the definition of irony that just two hours after the Fed issued a surprising statement that was so bullish on US growth it is as if the past month never happened, as if Williams and Bullard never threatened with QE4 just because the market almost entered a correction, and that made Goldman's chief economist Jan Hatzius to a express "modest hawkish surprise" that the very same bank, Goldman, whose alum is in charge of the NY Fed (leading to hours of
In less than 10 calendar days Goldman Sachs, the bank which has surrounded Donald Trump with its alumni as economic, financial (and political) advisors, has gone for the trifecta, slamming the prospects of Trump's economic policies three times after initially being surprisingly optimistic on the monetary-to-fiscal handoff, and after first warning that the honeymoon is over on February 4, then
This month, the World Bank cut its 2013 global growth forecast to 2.4 percent (from 3.0 percent), its 2014 forecast to 3.1 percent (from 3.3 percent), and it introduced its 2015 forecast calling for 3.3 percent growth.
Beijing (AFP) - China's GDP expanded 7.0 percent year-on-year in the second quarter, official data showed Wednesday, beating expectations but with weak investment and trade dragging on the world's second-largest economy.
NEW DELHI: India defied expectations on Tuesday to retain the title of the world's fastest growing major economy, despite the pain caused by Prime Minister Narendra Modi's shock crackdown on cash. Annual gross domestic product (GDP) growth for the October-December period came in at 7.0 per cent, a tad slower than 7.4 per cent in the previous quarter but much faster than the 6.4 per cent expansion forecast by economists in a Reuters poll. It was also higher than China's 6.8 per cent growth for the last three months of 2016.
Moments ago the IMF did what it does better than anyone (with the exception of the Fed): it once again admitted its forecast of world growth had been too optimistic, and as a result in its just released quarterly World Economic Outlook report, it cut its forecast for 2016 global GDP growth from 3.4% to 3.2%, and from 3.6% to 3.5% for 2017. Indicatively, back in July 2014 the IMF was forecasting 4.0% GDP growth in 2016. It is now 20% lower.
Today, we are fortunate to present a guest contribution written by Laurent Ferrara (Banque de France, Head of the International Macro Division) and Clément Marsilli (Banque de France, Economist at the International Macro Division). The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this article are entirely those of the authors. They do not necessarily represent the views of the Banque de France.