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    Why We're Right To Worry About The Facebook IPO

    Tue, 05/29/2012 - 03:37 EDT - Seeking Alpha
    • FB
    • Felix Salmon

    By Felix Salmon: The bad news is that the Greek stock market is down 58% over the past year; the good news is that it's up 7% today. So far, so uncontroversial: while it's possible to quibble with the standard CNBC convention that rising stock prices are always good and that falling stock prices are always bad, in the case of Greece it's much harder.In the U.S., for instance, investors with a reasonably long time horizon should like it when they can buy shares in productive companies at low prices, and dislike it when they're forced to pay through the nose for such things. In Greece, by contrast, the level of the stock market gives a very good indication of just how bad the outlook for the country really is.Which brings me to Andrew Gelman's blog post yesterday, taking issue with Jim Surowiecki's latest column, on Facebook (FB). Surowiecki says thatComplete Story »

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    • Today's Pre-Ramp Preview

      "Equity prices in the US and Europe have been hovering at multi-year highs. To the extent that this reflects powerful policy easing, equity markets may have lost some of its ability to reflect economic trends in exchange for an important role in the policy fight to support spending." This is a statement from a Bank of America report overnight in which the bailed out bank confirms what has been said here since the launch of QE1 - there is no "market", there is no economic growth discounting mechanism, there is merely a monetary policy vehicle.

    • In the long run we’re all still exposed to risk

      Many of you will be familiar with the fact that past returns from notable stock indices, such as those in the US, are a biased indicator of the likely future returns to investing in equities. The problem is that due to war, government interference, and financial collapse, some stock markets disappeared altogether, wiping out investors. In some countries this has even happened multiple times.

    • Currency Positioning and Technical Outlook: King Dollar Returns?

      The US dollar rose against all the major currencies in the past week.  It seems clear that the greenback's gains were not a reflection of domestic developments, though it is true that US data stands in stark contrast with nearly ever other major country.  

    • Market Rally Has Legs

      Chris Damas submits: The US stock market rally turnaround after a nine day sell-off is impressive and has “legs” in my opinion. As soon as I see the “Most Wanted” PermaBears in the media (David Rosenberg in the Globe and Mail a day ago, Nouriel Roubini cancelled his morning interview on CNBC) trotting out their overly-used arguments that the market bull rally is speculative and therefore “false” (because they missed the call), I get more bullish and want to buy my favorite businesses.

    • The Real World vs. the Stock Market

      Steve Reitmeister submits:September's Employment Situation was worse than expected Friday morning. Yet bad news is good news these days for those who think a second round of Fed quantitative easing (QE2) will bolster the markets. So stocks bolted into positive territory on the day, pushing up to Dow 11,000.It’s an odd dichotomy. We have a somewhat improving economy. Yet the average person does not feel better about the situation. That’s because either they or someone close to them is out of work.

    • Greece, the skids

      GREECE faced massive strikes turned riots yesterday as its government passed a new round of fiscal consolidation, designed to shrink the budget €18.5 billion by 2016. The contents of the austerity plan hardly seems like the stuff to drive Greeks to firebomb riot police; among the measures under debate were a two-year rise in the retirement age and measures to make it easier to fire public employees.

    • SIR #18: Rising Tide Lifts Shippers

      This report was sent to subscribers on March 30, 2011.  Join our free mailing list to receive actionable SIR information 48 hours before it is posted for the public… EXECUTIVE SUMMARY:

    • Is Getting Rid of "Floors" on Credit Card Interest Rates Actually Bad for Consumers?

      Oddly, Felix Salmon and I find ourselves on different sides of a debate over credit card rates--and he is taking the side of the banks.  Felix is worried about an impending rule against putting "floors" on credit card interest rates:

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