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    Treasury ETFs Caught Between Debt Worries, Safety Trade

    Tue, 05/24/2011 - 16:23 EDT - Seeking Alpha
    • TLT
    • Tom Lydon

    Tom Lydon submits:

    Exchange traded funds that invest in Treasury bonds are caught between two powerful crosscurrents in the markets. Although investors hear a lot about the debt ceiling and the U.S. budget deficit, Treasury yields have actually been falling recently, meaning bond prices are rising. This suggests demand for Treasuries, which are seen as a safe haven in times of market stress. For example, iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond Fund (NYSEArca: TLT) surged in late 2008, as the worst of the credit crisis shook markets. There are powerful arguments against owning Treasury ETFs now though, and many high-profile investors are bearish on government debt. For example, Reuters recently reported that with the national debt at $14.3 trillion, this amount piled in $1 bills would reach to the moon and back. Twice. Some commentators say it’s only a matter of time until the “bond vigilantes” turn on the U.S. government debt marketComplete Story »

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      By Gregory Skidmore:The low interest rate environment we face has made fixed income the most challenging asset class to manage. As a portfolio manager, I am faced with a dilemma. I can invest in high-quality fixed income and receive little to no income or dramatically increase risk to achieve some income. In summary, there is no return being offered for safe fixed-income investments and the risk required to achieve a small amount of return is too great to be taken. So what am I doing with fixed income?

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    • Treasury ETFs Volatile on 'QE3' Talk

      Tom Lydon submits: Stocks advanced Wednesday but Treasury exchange traded funds were all over the map as investors debated the likelihood of further “quantitative easing” from the Federal Reserve due to a slowdown in the U.S. economy and discouraging data recently on unemployment. The minutes of the latest Fed meeting released Tuesday showed some members would be receptive to changes in monetary policy if the economy worsens.

    • Treasury ETFs Stumble Into 2012

      By Tom Lydon: U.S. Treasury exchange traded funds, last year’s hottest ETF investment, tumbled on the first trading session of 2012 as bond prices pulled back and yields on the 10-year note climbed toward 2%. The iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond Fund (NYSEArca: TLT) dropped nearly 2% on Tuesday. The ETF soared more than 30% in 2011.

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      Tom Lydon submits: Exchange traded funds that invest in U.S. Treasury bonds rose Tuesday morning on renewed European debt jitters following last week’s sell-off.

    • Junk Bonds: Sector to Shine on Rising Interest Rates

      MyPlanIQ submits:Treasuries were in a slump last week on improved economic fundamentals. As the economic recovery continues to solidify one must allow for the possibility that interest rates will rise further when adjusting their fixed-income portfolios. By examining the following trend score table for bond ETFs that represent various fixed income subclasses, one can gain some insights into the current fixed income market:

    • Treasury ETFs Rise in Safety Trade

      Tom Lydon submits: Exchange traded funds that invest in Treasuries rose Wednesday as investors looked for safety in bonds while stocks weakened along with commodities. Yet Treasury bonds and related ETFs could be slowly losing value as U.S. debt levels surge to new heights and inflation eats away at wealth, some high-profile investors say.

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