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    The Swiss National Bank Is Big Enough To Maintain The CHF/EUR Rate

    Sun, 04/15/2012 - 15:09 EDT - Seeking Alpha
    • FXB
    • FXE
    • FXF
    • Paulo Santos

    By Paulo Santos:It's all over the news and message boards, the skepticism that the SNB can contain the Swiss Franc (FXF) market and enforce its floor against the euro (FXE), now set at EUR/CHF 1.20.The reasoning why the SNB will fail is simple and usually runs along two lines:

    1. The market is larger than the SNB.
    2. The Bank of England tried the same with the British Pound (FXB) back in 1992, and ended up failing - this reinforces "the market is larger than" motto.

    The reasoning, however, is flawed.
    It is flawed, because the present situation is not comparable to Soros breaking the pound. The BoE, back then, was trying to prevent the GBP from devaluing. To do this, the BoE had to buy GBP, which is done by selling other currencies in exchange for it. This exposed the BoE to 2 problems:

    1. The foreign currency reserves are finite;
    2. Those attacking

    Complete Story »

    • Original article
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    Related

    • Swiss Franc Refuses To Confirm Fresh Euro-Optimism

      By Dr. Duru: On Thursday, June 28th, Swiss National Bank (SNB) vice chairman Jean-Pierre Danthine repeated a claim made consistently by the SNB: at 1.20 the Swiss franc is overvalued relative to the euro.

    • Long EUR/Short CHF: A Possible Trade With A High Risk-Reward Ratio

      By Emil Mark: Since September 2011 the Swiss franc has lost a large portion of its appeal as a safe haven currency. The pledge of the Swiss National bank to defend the 1.20 floor it pegged the franc against the euro was tested several times by the market and survived.

    • The Swiss National Bank's Silent Peg

      By Scott Krisiloff:The Swiss Franc (CHF) is trading sharply lower today against the dollar on news that the Swiss National Bank is considering a temporary peg of the currency against the Euro. However, the move shouldn't be too surprising to the market as the SNB has been trying to manage the CHF/EUR exchange rate aggressively for the past several years.

    • Time To Short The Franc... With The Euro

      By Dr. Duru: The Swiss franc has had a floor against the euro set at 1.20 for about 15 months. During that time, there was a stretch of about five months where EUR/CHF traded right on top of that floor. Traders never made a strong attempt to test the resolve of the Swiss National Bank (SNB). Based on trading over the past four months, I think that test will not come anytime soon. Indeed, it looks like it is time to get more aggressively bullish on EUR/CHF.

    • Pictet On The Sudden Depreciation Of The Swiss Franc

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    • Swiss Devaluation Was Right Thing To Do

      By Scott Sumner: Lars Christensen recently sent me the following report from the Swiss National Bank: The current massive overvaluation of the Swiss franc poses an acute threat to the Swiss economy and carries the risk of a deflationary development.

    • Swiss Franc Set For Prolonged Weakness As SNB Reiterates Price Floor

      ByRichard Cox:This year has seen significant downside move in the Swiss Franc (CHF), after major declines in volatility for the second half of last year. Valuation flatlines in currency pairs like the EUR/CHF are rarely seen, and tend to be preceded by substantial spikes in volatility once market indecision abates (classic consolidation price behavior).

    • Currency Intervention Fears Weigh On Swiss Franc ETF

      By Tom Lydon: An exchange traded fund that tracks the movements of the Swiss franc versus the dollar has become less desirable as a safe-haven asset after the Swiss National Bank pegged the currency to the euro currency. Now, currency traders are worried that the central bank may take further actions in weakening the franc.

    • Swiss To Weaken The Franc Further?

      By Zecco: By Paul Quintaro Tuesday morning saw relatively large moves in several currency pairs, as the CHF/EUR spiked sharply lower while he USD/CHF moved higher. Unconfirmed chatter had been circulating that the Swiss National Bank (SNB) was considering raising its euro-to-franc peg further, setting it to 1.25 up from the previous 1.20.

    • Swiss National Bank Weighs Swiss Franc Peg or Price Target

      By Forexyard: By Russell Glaser

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