S&P 500 Bottoms And Bond Market Tops
By Jaimini Desai:In a previous article, I looked at the disconnect between stocks and bonds. This article is examining the sterling performance of bonds exceeding their October highs, while the stock market, although weakened, remains well above its 2011 lows. This divergence is seen in the chart below:
(click to enlarge)
From October to April, the S&P 500 (SPY) impressively climbed from its low of 1075 to a high of 1425. Despite this strong move, the bond market (TLT) remained range bound with yields between 2.5% and 1.8% on the 10 year note.In retrospect, this was a clear warning sign that the bond market was not a believer in the stock market's optimism. Now, as the S&P 500 has fallen from 1425 to 1278, corresponding to 128 on the SPDR S&P 500 ETF, yields have fallen to 1.47% on the 10 year note.This certainly is due in large parts toComplete Story »
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