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    Silver: Short-Term Cautious, Long-Term Bullish

    Tue, 07/05/2011 - 09:41 EDT - Seeking Alpha
    • Prieur du Plessis
    • SLV

    prieur du plessis Prieur du Plessis submits: According to BCA Research, silver’s risk/reward trade off is neutral. The team argues the following in a recent research note: Although the price of silver is down 33% from its recent peak, it has handily outperformed gold and platinum since the 2008 bottom. Fabrication demand for silver has gone sideways for the past 10 years and primary supply has been in a steady uptrend. There are longer-term bullish influences at work for both physical and paper demand, but for the time being, the main driver is investment demand. This allows for a further correction in the coming months, and warns against bottom-fishing. At the same time, a long gold/short silver spread ‘trade’ is shaping up. However, the longer-term issue for investors is when to buy. The white metal should benefit from a multi-year period of low real interest rates, plentiful liquidity, incentives for currency devaluation and fiat money debasement. TheComplete Story »

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    • Silver: Short-term cautious, long-term buy

      Article written by Prieur du Plessis, editor of the Investment Postcards from Cape Town blog.According to BCA Research, silver’s risk/reward trade off is neutral.

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    • Bullish backdrop for energy prices

      Article written by Prieur du Plessis, editor of the Investment Postcards from Cape Town blog.BCA Research, in a short report on energy prices, said: “Tightening efforts in China have had virtually no impact on energy demand, as crude oil imports remain in a strong uptrend as the country transitions to a ‘car economy’.

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    • Silver in backwardation, set to move up

      Article written by Prieur du Plessis, editor of the Investment Postcards from Cape Town blog.Although the silver price has declined by 11% over the past three weeks, tightness in the physical market continues as the metal is again in backwardation, i.e. the spot price is higher than the futures price.

    • Liquidity, Long-Term Technical Indicators Still Bullish

      Prieur du Plessis submits: “The end game for this bullish phase [on stock markets] needs to be considered well before the event. While the timing is largely guesswork at this stage, the usual causes are not.

    • A Bullish Backdrop for Energy Prices

      Prieur du Plessis submits: BCA Research, in a short report on energy prices, said: “Tightening efforts in China have had virtually no impact on energy demand, as crude oil imports remain in a strong uptrend as the country transit

    • China vs. JP Morgan and the Battle Over Gold and Silver

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