Silver: Short-Term Cautious, Long-Term Bullish
Prieur du Plessis submits: According to BCA Research, silver’s risk/reward trade off is neutral. The team argues the following in a recent research note: Although the price of silver is down 33% from its recent peak, it has handily outperformed gold and platinum since the 2008 bottom. Fabrication demand for silver has gone sideways for the past 10 years and primary supply has been in a steady uptrend. There are longer-term bullish influences at work for both physical and paper demand, but for the time being, the main driver is investment demand. This allows for a further correction in the coming months, and warns against bottom-fishing. At the same time, a long gold/short silver spread ‘trade’ is shaping up. However, the longer-term issue for investors is when to buy. The white metal should benefit from a multi-year period of low real interest rates, plentiful liquidity, incentives for currency devaluation and fiat money debasement. TheComplete Story »
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