Earlier today, we reported that Germany is preparing a contingency plan to deal with the fallout from a Greek default, the odds of which analysts are now putting at even money. According to Die Zeit, Berlin is looking at options to keep the Greek banking sector solvent (i.e. make sure there are still euros in the ATMs) even in the event Athens misses a payment to the IMF next month.
German Chancellor Angela Merkel is coming under growing pressure from within the ranks of her own party bloc to give up on Greece for the sake of the euro.
Members of Merkel’s Christian Democratic bloc are openly challenging her stance of keeping Europe’s most-indebted country in the 19-nation currency region. Even some officials in the Finance Ministry are leaning toward the conclusion that the euro area would be better off without Greece, two people familiar with the matter said.
BERLIN (Reuters) - Back in May, as the euro zone veered deeper into crisis, Nobel Prize-winning economist Paul Krugman penned one of his gloomiest columns about the single currency, a piece in the New York Times entitled "Apocalypse Fairly Soon".
By Peter Boone and Simon Johnson
In every economic crisis there comes a moment of clarity. In Europe soon, millions of people will wake up to realize that the euro-as-we-know-it is gone. Economic chaos awaits them.
The Greek stock market is down over 36% year to date; the risk of global contagion in the event of a Greek exit is very real. Ordinarily such a crisis would require a massive coordinated effort from global stakeholders, perhaps directed by the IMF or some other pan-national financial body. But not in this case; the rhetoric is nationally-based and biased without unity of purpose across finance ministries.
Dr. Doom got it wrong.
The parade of economists and investors led by Nouriel Roubini predicting Greece’s ejection by now from the eurozone failed to appreciate the resolve of European policy makers to protect their union and the amount of pain Greeks are willing to stomach.
By Russ Koesterich: Now that a second Greek bailout deal has been reached, I’m getting lots of questions from investors about my outlook for the euro currency. The questions run the gamut from whether Greece will remain in the euro bloc to how the euro will likely perform going forward.