Sell Chimera Before The Earnings Announcement Tonight
By Parsimony Investment Research:We have hightlighted the risks of owning Chimera Investment Corp. (CIM) in previous articles, and we believe that investors should remain extremely cautious about the stock.In general, we are still bullish on mortgage real estate investment trusts ("mREITs"), particularly agency-focused mREITs like Annaly Capital Management (NLY) and American Capital Agency (AGNC). We think the current economic and interest rate picture is positive for mREITs. A weak economy is actually a good environment for mREITs, which benefit from low interest rates and a steep yield curve (see chart below). See our recent article "High Yield in a Slow-Growth World: Mortgage REITs" for more details.That said, Chimera is a non-agency focused mortgage REIT. As shown in the table below, over 70% of CIM's portfolio is allocated in non-agency RMBS.Whereas agency mortgages are guaranteed by government sponsored entities (implying limited credit risk), non-agency securities do not carry a similar impliedComplete Story »
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