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    The Revolt Against The Euro

    Thu, 05/17/2012 - 13:04 EDT - Seeking Alpha
    • FXE
    • Shareholders Unite

    By Shareholders Unite:There is a revolt against the euro going on, and it isn't surprising. The consequences are extremely dire, though.EconomicsThe whole euro concept was always more political than economic. The design was 'half-baked,' in the sense that experts knew at the time that it meant giving up adjustment mechanisms (independent monetary policy and currencies), forcing a budgetary straitjacket (the 'Stability and Growth Pact'), and engaging in a one-size-fits-nobody monetary policy.This would be fine as long as countries would not show what in economic parlance is called an 'asymmetrical shock,' that is, events that impact the economies of member countries in different ways, triggering the need for adjustment.The euro optimists believed that the euro itself would produce 'convergence,' economies becoming more similar and less prone to these 'asymmetrical' shocks.Those euro optimists were wrong.And their error has a good chance in being one of the most seriousComplete Story »

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    Related

    • The Euro Crisis, In Quotes

      By Shareholders Unite:The euro crisis is so awfully complex that it vexes even experienced policy makers. However, sometimes pundits hit the nail upon the head and provide such succinct quotes that really sum up the situation. We string together a few:Here's Paul Krugman in lunch with Martin Wolf from the Financial Times:

    • How can the euro zone prevent the next fiscal crisis?

      PAUL KRUGMAN reminds us that the problems of southern Europe are not caused by past profligacy. He is right in some sense. It is true that according to any off-the-shelf definition of the government budget, a number of these countries (though certainly not all) were doing fine: running surpluses and reducing the debt burden. Yet it isn't clear that a static, cash-basis accounting concept of the government budget is the most reasonable.

    • Who Actually Benefits From The Euro?

      By Shareholders Unite:In this article, we'll try to show that the main benefits of the euro are related to the perfection of a single market, and the main cost is the lack of adjustment mechanisms to country-specific shocks and developments. The latter now seem to far outweigh the former.

    • John Maynard Keynes (1923), "A Tract on Monetary Reform", pp. 80-82

      Keynes (1923):

    • Eurozone Math; One Size Fits Germany; Door Number Two

      Reader "JB" thinks I am blaming Germany for what is happening. That's not exactly correct, but let's take a look at what "JB" has to say via email. Hi Mish, I read your blog daily. We are generally on the same page. We even agree that in all probability the eurozone will break up. However, You cannot blame the Germany, the German government, or the German people for doing the right thing. Germans can accept austerity. The phrase "tightening the belt" is an axiom in the German language. .... JB

    • A new 'virility pact' for the eurozone?

      Credit where it's due. The European Commission is usually considered a lumbering bureaucratic animal, but in devising a system for preventing future fiscal crises in the Eurozone, it's moving pretty fast. There are only two problems: European governments are unlikely to sign up to the proposals, and the current fiscal crisis still has a long way to run.

    • A credible Stability and Growth Pact: Raising the bar for budgetary transparency

      Michael Burda, Stefan Gerlach , 17 June 2010While the Stability and Growth Pact had good intentions, it failed because nothing happened when governments broke the rules. This essay proposes an enhanced Pact with increased fiscal transparency, an independent committee of fiscal experts, and a 1% tax on new debt above the 60% debt-to-GDP ratio. This would redistribute the costs of running Europe from the countries that have their house in order to those that don’t.

    • Preparations For Geneva Motor Show Reflect 'Industry Malaise'

      PARIS (AP) — The Geneva Motor Show has long had a reputation as one of the glitziest stops on the global auto show circuit — the place to unveil luxury models and out-of-this-world fantasy concept cars. But this year the dire state of the European auto industry will hang over the exhibition halls. Hit by fleeing customers, struggling economies and idle production lines, the region's carmakers need to make tough decisions if they are going to survive.

    • The German Solution To The Euro Debt Crisis

      By Shareholders Unite:The Germans want to turn euroland into a form of Germany, but by doing that they might very well turn it into a form of Greece.Jürgen Stark's strangely schizophrenic parting shot at the ECB:

    • Stability and Growth Pact: Counterproductive proposals

      Paolo Manasse, 7 October 2010The European Commission has recently reviewed the Stability and Growth Pact. This column argues that while such a reform is urgently needed, the naivety of the Commission’s proposals, with the exception of those concerning budgetary institutions, risk being counterproductive. Full Article: Stability and Growth Pact: Counterproductive proposals

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