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    A Quiet Monday for Currencies

    Mon, 08/09/2010 - 10:28 EDT - Seeking Alpha
    • ERO
    • FXE
    • FXY
    • JYN
    • Marc Chandler
    • UDN
    • UUP

    Marc Chandler submits:The US dollar is trading quietly within the ranges seen before the weekend ahead of tomorrow’s FOMC meeting. The BOJ concludes its meeting tomorrow, but the speculation has tended to focus on renewed asset purchases by the Federal Reserve, especially in the aftermath of the disappointing July employment figures.The euro has been confined to less than a half cent range, though near-term the $1.3230-$1.3330 range looks likely to contain the single currency. The greenback put a little space between it and the JPY84.80-JPY85.00 support area, with the help of Japanese importers, but the resistance in the JPY85.8-JPY86.00 needs to be overcome to improve the tone. Meanwhile, sterling is consolidating just below the $1.60 level. It has tried three times now (once in North America before the weekend, in Asia last night and in Europe earlier today). It looks posed for another attempt in North America today and if it fails, there is a risk of a somewhat deeper setback toward $1.5850 before renewed buying is seen.Equities are generally firmer, with Japan’s Nikkei an exception with a 0.7% loss today. The MSCI Asia-Pacific Index was essentially flaw. Of the main regional markets, Taiwan’s Taiex did best, rising 0.9%, with the electronics sector among the leaders. China’s Shanghai tacked on another 0.5% as it continues recover and is now up 8% in the past month, the strongest equity market in the region. Health care, basic materials and technology were the leading sectors. Financials and telecom were laggards. Foreign investors took modest profits in Korea, but the Kospi still managed to gain a third of a percent and the Korean won traded slightly higher. Equity buying is stronger in Europe, where the major bourses are up between 1.25%-1.50%,led by the oil and gas, utilities and consumer services. Financials are fully participating in today’s advance. After paring back the job induced losses before the weekend, the US S&P 500 is expected to open around 0.3% higher.Complete Story »

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    • Today in the Capital Markets

      Marc Chandler submits:The US dollar is mixed at the start of the new week. The absence of London markets is serving to dampen turnover. The reluctance of the Bank of Japan to get ahead of market expectations saw the yen recover smartly after the greenback neared JPY86. Initial support for the dollar near JPY84.50 is likely to be tested shortly. For its part, the euro has been confined to its pre-weekend range. Three times in as many sessions, the euro was turned back from approaching $1.2780.

    • Thursday in the Markets: Consolidative Tone in FX, Equities Firmer

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      By Marc Chandler:The US dollar is largely within yesterday’s trading ranges against the major foreign currencies today. The main exception is the Australian dollar, where the central bank kept rates on hold but encouraged the market to look for a rate cut next month. The unwinding of long AUD cross positions helped lift the yen after the BOJ reported the first decline in its monetary base in three years.

    • Position Adjustment Ahead of the Weekend, Yen Bounces

      Corrective forces are taking hold in the foreign exchange market. It appears to have begun with Tokyo's reluctance to push the dollar through JPY100; frustrating the yen bears and spurring some profit-taking. If the short leg is being covered, the long-leg of the trades, like euro, sterling, Australian dollars and emerging market currencies are being liquidated.

    • Monday in the Markets: Dollar Firmer, Sterling Falls

      Marc Chandler submits:The US dollar is generally firmer against most of the major and emerging market currencies to start the new week. It has staged a reversal of sorts before the weekend and there has been follow through today. The euro ran out of steam after poking through $1.27.Support near $1.2550 has been tested in Europe and a break could signal losses toward last week’s low near $1.2480.

    • Thursday Currencies: Dollar Selling Is Relentless

      Marc Chandler submits:The US dollar remains under relentless pressure. Even though the ADP has tended to under under-estimate private sector job growth, the unexpected weakness reported yesterday is the latest catalyst for expectations of renewed asset purchases by the Federal Reserve. The euro approached the $1.40 level before the market paused in Europe.

    • Euro Slides, Risk Aversion Rises

      Marc Chandler submits:The US dollar is broadly higher against most major and emerging market currencies today, with the yen and Swiss franc being the notable exceptions.

    • Monday's Capital Markets Overview: U.S. Dollar Narrowly Mixed

      Marc Chandler submits:The US dollar is narrowly mixed to start the new week. It is hanged against most of the major currencies as the market waits for fresh trading incentives.The euro was turned back on the initial test of the $1.24 area, Initial support is near $1.2320, but only a break of $1.22 would signal a break of the recent range. The dollar has been confined to a little more than a 10 tick range on either side of JPY89.35. Sterling is little changed and has held above the $1.50 level.

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    • Range Trading Day for Dollar, Euro

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