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    Percentage of Stocks Above 50-Day Moving Averages Back Below 10%

    Wed, 06/30/2010 - 04:41 EDT - Seeking Alpha
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    Hickey and Walters (Bespoke) submit:
    Tuesday's drop to new correction lows has once again put the percentage of stocks in the S&P 500 below the 10% level (currently 7%). Prior pullbacks during the run-up from the March 2009 lows only saw declines in this indicator to around 20-25%, and they didn't stay down there long. The current correction has seen the indicator remain in the single digits and teens for some time, and the bounce we got two weeks ago didn't take the indicator back above the 50% level. Clearly we're in a period that's testing the resolve of bulls, and multiple days like Tuesday cause more and more bulls to throw in the towel. As we've been noting in our Bespoke Premium reports, corrections of this magnitude have a hard time not turning into full-fledged bear markets. Just as rallies beget rallies, declines beget more declines. As investors/consumers see things getting worse, they tighten their belts even more and sell stocks, which then causes farther declines. It can turn into a vicious cycle.Complete Story »

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    Related

    • Percentage of Stocks Above 50-Day Moving Averages

      Hickey and Walters (Bespoke) submit: The percentage of stocks in an index or sector trading above their 50-day moving averages is one of many breadth indicators that we follow. Very high readings are indicative of long-term underlying market strength, but they also suggest that things might be a little too overbought in the short-term.

    • Percentage of Stocks Above 50-Day Moving Averages

      Hickey and Walters (Bespoke) submit: The S&P 500 broke above its 200-day moving average today and crept back into positive territory for the year. The percentage of S&P 500 stocks trading above their 50-day moving averages, which is one measure of underlying breadth, is now at 39%.

    • Percentage of Stocks Above 50-Day Moving Averages

      Hickey and Walters (Bespoke) submit: As shown below, the percentage of stocks in the S&P 500 above their 50-day moving averages is at its lowest level of the current bull market. This means there is no longer a support level for the indicator unless you go back to the March lows.

    • S&P 500 and Sector Percentage of Stocks Above 50-Day Moving Averages

      Hickey and Walters (Bespoke) submit: The market's drop over the past two days has put the percentage of stocks above their 50-day moving averages in the S&P 500 back below 50% down to 43%.

    • Percentage of Stocks Above 50-Day Moving Average

      Hickey and Walters (Bespoke) submit: As shown below, during the most recent rally that started in December, the percentage of stocks trading above their 50-day moving averages in the S&P 500 never managed to get back to the highs it saw in April and October 2010.

    • Percentage of Stocks Above 50-Day Moving Averages

      Hickey and Walters (Bespoke) submit: Below we highlight the current level of the percentage of S&P 500 stocks trading above their 50-day moving averages. After getting down to the lowest levels since late 2008, the indicator has jumped up to 28% after three days of gains this week.

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