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    Operation Twist? Fed Unlikely To Use Policy Tool

    Wed, 08/24/2011 - 12:33 EDT - Seeking Alpha
    • BAC
    • C
    • James A. Kostohryz
    • JPM
    • TLT
    • WFC

    In the search for potential policy tools that the Fed might employ under current distressed conditions, some analysts have floated the idea that the Fed could implement something dubbed as “Operation Twist.” This policy would consist of implementing measures to increase interest rates at the short end of the curve (including sale of short-term Treasury securities) and purchasing Treasuries at the long end in order to lower long-term interest rates.

    In this article I want to briefly explain why I believe that an “Operation Twist” is highly unlikely.

    I would like begin by quoting current Chairman Ben Bernanke, in a speech he delivered in 2002:

    “An episode apparently less favorable to the view that the Fed can manipulate Treasury yields was the so-called Operation Twist of the 1960s, during which an attempt was made to raise short-term yields and lower long-term yields simultaneously by selling at the short end andComplete Story »

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      On September 21, 2011 in a Federal Reserve Press Release the Fed announced "Operation Twist" purportedly to drive down long-term rates and drive up short-term rates.

    • Here Comes Operation Twist II

      By CERF: In the 1960s, the Federal Reserve attempted to conduct an operation to lower longer-term yields and raise short-term yields. This maneuver was called “Operation Twist,” and the purpose was to stimulate private-sector borrowing and spending. It is generally agreed that the policy was modestly successful in temporarily pushing long-term rates lower.

    • 5 Reasons The Fed Will Not Push 10Y Rates Below 2.0%

      In previous articles, I have written about various aggressive monetary stimulus strategies that the Fed could pursue in order to stimulate the economy. One of those aggressive strategies would involve large purchases of US Treasury bonds at the long end of the curve (IEF, TLT) – the benchmark 10Y Bond specifically.

    • Taking A Look At The Fed's Latest Round Of Quantitative Easing

      By Alex Canahuate:Wednesday's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting ushered in yet another round of quantitative easing, with the central bank planning to purchase an additional $45 billion worth of "longer-term Treasury securities" on top of the $40 billion worth of mortgage-backed securities (MBSs) the Fed has been purchasing on a monthly basis since September.

    • Effects of operation twist

      The Federal Reserve announced on Wednesday ([1], [2]) that it will sell some of its shorter-term assets in order to buy more longer-term assets. Here I assess some of the possible consequences of this move.

    • Fed-Issued Floating Rate Notes - Another Arrow In The Quiver

      ByUNC-CH Fed Challenge:It didn't have to end this way. The Fed just announced that it will end Operation Twist. The program, formally known as the Maturity Extension Program, buys long term Treasuries, and sterilizes the balance sheet impact by selling equivalent amounts of short term Treasuries. Long term rates fall; short term rates rise (kind of); and the yield curve twists.

    • Fed to Increase MBS at Pace of $40 Billion Per Month, Extend Operation Twist, Increase Longer-Term Securities by $85 billion Per Month Through December; Desperation Bazooka Tactics; Gold Soars Following Huge Headfake

      The Fed came out blazing today, not that it will matter one iota to jobs (because it won't).

    • Mortgage Reits: Impact Of Operation Twist

      By Qineqt:The Fed has made efforts to stimulate the sluggish U.S. economy, first through its Operation Twist, then through the extension of this operation on June 20, 2012.

    • The Fed's 'Twist' And The U.S. Economic Outlook

      By Calder H. Lamb:The Federal Reserve has announced that it will continue "Operation Twist" and will not engage in additional QE measures. The Federal Reserve issued a news release today, June 20th, that stated, in part:

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