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    More On CPI (Not To Be Confused With Moron CPI)

    Wed, 05/16/2012 - 06:08 EDT - Seeking Alpha
    • DIA
    • QQQ
    • SPY
    • The Inflation Trader

    By The Inflation Trader: I posted Tuesday some thoughts that I tweeted right after the CPI figures were released Tuesday morning, and added a few ancillary thoughts as well. I figured that may be all that I would write, since CPI is clearly the most important release of the day and because I am hard at work on our Quarterly Inflation Outlook piece.But then I saw a number of headlines such as this:

    • "Retail Sales Edge Up, Inflation Flat as Energy Prices Fall"
    • "Tame Inflation, Strong Factory Data Lift Futures"

    …and I realized I had to write Tuesday.It isn't true that core CPI was "as-expected" or that inflation was "flat." Of the 78 economists polled by Bloomberg about the monthly change in core CPI, one called for 0.0%, eight expected +0.1%, and the balance expected +0.2%. The average works out to be 0.184%. This is consistent with poll results on the questionComplete Story »

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      WASHINGTON — U.S. consumer prices recorded their largest increase in nearly four years in February as the cost of gasoline surged, but details of the report on Friday showed no sign of a pickup in inflation to trouble the Federal Reserve. The Labor Department said its Consumer Price Index increased 0.7% last month, the largest gain since June 2009, after being flat in January. Gasoline accounted for about three quarters of the spike in consumer inflation. Economists polled by Reuters had expected the CPI to advance 0.5%.

    • August's Retail Sales Disappoint

      By Zacks.com: Europe remains in the headlines, with rating downgrades for two major French banks due to their Greek exposure. But the overall tone of Europe-centric headlines has improved as the Germans have started to back-peddle from some of their tougher statements.

    • February Inflation Rises By Most In One Year; Empire Fed Misses Even As Optimism Rises To Highest In 12 Months

      Following last month's surprising surge in the Empire Fed from a deep negative number to 10.04, the March print was less exciting, declining modestly to 9.24, on expectations of an unchanged number. The new orders and shipments indexes remained above zero, though both were somewhat lower than last month’s levels, dropping from 13.31 to 8.18 and 13.08 to 7.76, respectively. Price indexes showed that input price increases continued at a steady pace while selling prices were flat.

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      Econ Grapher submits:This week we look at some of the monetary policy decisions that were announced, then review the consumer spending stats in the US before checking in on inflation in the US as well as the UK. We wrap up with a snapshot of the commodities market.1. Monetary Policy Review

    • South African interest rate outlook

      Article written by Prieur du Plessis, editor of the Investment Postcards from Cape Town blog.By Cees Bruggemans, Chief Economist of FNB.The year 2011 offered much scope to test to destruction two propositions: that higher inflation would trigger early SARB rate increases (the fear of 1H2011) and the possibility that modest growth and large lingering output gap would trigger more SARB rate cuts (2h2011).

    • Median CPI Inflation Below 1% for the 12th Month

      According to a report released today by the Federal Res

    • US rise in consumer prices slows unexpectedly

      US consumer prices rose a mere 0.1 percent in November in an unexpected easing of inflation amid a weak economic recovery, official data showed Wednesday.Economists had expected the Labor Department's consumer price index to gain 0.2 percent as it had in October.Excluding food and energy prices, which can be volatile month-to-month, so-called "core" CPI increased 0.1 percent, matching expectations, after three months of flat readings.

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