Monday Options Recap
Frederic Ruffy submits: SentimentA busy week of economic news kicked off with a report on personal incomes and spending Monday morning. While incomes rose .4 percent in May, and .1 percent less than economists had predicted, spending increased by 2 percent and two times more than expected. Consumer confidence numbers are due out Tuesday and investors get their first peek at the June jobs situation courtesy of ADP’s private sector report Wednesday. Weekly claims, construction spending, ISM, and pending homes sales are slated for Wednesday. The Labor Department releases its jobs numbers Friday morning. Meanwhile, Europe’s equity markets traded quietly higher Monday after G-20 members met over the weekend and ironed out plans to cut debts and deficits. Germany’s DAX paced the advance with a 1.4 percent gain. Similarly, in the US, the Dow Jones Industrial Average is up 45 points. With an hour left to trade, the CBOE Volatility Index (.VIX) is up .15 to 28.68. Options volume is light, with roughly 4.1 million calls and 3.3 million puts traded so far.Bullish FlowHome Depot (HD) is down 53 cents to $29.67 and the Aug 32 – 34 call spread is apparently bought at 39 cents, 20000X on PHLX. It might close or roll, as open interest is sufficient to cover in both contracts. Implied volatility in HD is up about 6.5 percent to 32. Earnings due out mid-Aug, possibly before the expiration. If this is an opening trade, it could be interesting heading into earnings. Excluding commissions, it offers a $1.61 pay-off if shares rally to $34 or more by the August expiration. So, the strategist is risking 39 cents to make $1.61, or a ratio of more than four-to-one. Of course, reaching the max profit potential from the spread requires a 14.4 percent rally in HD in 53 days. The breakeven at expiration is $32.39.Complete Story »
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