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    Moderate Risk Investors May Prefer A Conservative ETF Portfolio

    Thu, 05/24/2012 - 18:45 EDT - Seeking Alpha
    • AMJ
    • CIU
    • EUO
    • Gary Gordon
    • HYG
    • PCY
    • PJP
    • SPLV
    • VNQ
    • VTI
    • VYM
    • XLP
    • XLU

    gary gordonBy Gary Gordon: With earnings of $101 per share and the S&P 500 trading at 1320, the P/E for the popular benchmark is a mere 13. Even the 2.0% dividend for the S&P 500 SPDR Trust (SPY) is more impressive than the 10-year treasury yield of 1.77%. Do valuations even matter? Apparently, few seem to care when European stress indicators are on the rise. Consider the popularity and profitability of ProShares UltraShort Euro (EUO). Not only has the euro depreciated 15% in value over the previous year, but “ultra-shorting” has earned traders 14.5% in just three months.
    Click to enlarge

    (click to enlarge)
    There are some indications, however, that business sectors less sensitive to economic cycles are already bouncing back. Since the lows of May 18, PowerShares Dynamic Pharma (PJP), SPDR Select Sector Consumer Staples (XLP) and SPDR Select Sector Utilities (XLU) have recovered short-term, 20-day moving averages. In fact, PowerShares S&P 500Complete Story »

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    Related

    • Cyclical Sector ETFs 'Technically' Worse Off Than Non-Sensitive Sectors

      Gary Gordon submits: Analysts like Bob Doll at Blackrock believe that U.S. economic growth will accelerate, with GDP likely to come in at a vibrant 3.5% for 2011. Economists polled at the Economist Intelligence Unit may be a little less enthusiastic, but they have raised their forecasts from 3.0% to 3.1%.

    • Doubts Bolster Treasury Bond ETFs

      By Gary Gordon: Wasn’t it just a week ago when the 10-year treasury yield pushed 2.3%? Wasn’t it just a few days back when bond vigilantes piled into ETFs like ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury (TBT)?

    • Best Current U.S. Sector ETF Choices: VOX, XLP, XLU, XLV, XLY

      Richard Shaw (QVM Group) submits: Based on current and recent price behavior, these U.S. sector ETFs are the better trend following choices among the 10 U.S. sectors (as of 2011-05-11):

    • Underperforming Sector ETFs Sending Optimistic Economic Message

      ByGary Jakacky:By comparing the performance of the SPDRS S&P 500 Index Trust ETF (SPY) to its 9 component sector Spyders, investors can sometimes obtain clues to how the economy will perform in the near future. In this article I want to highlight how two of the sector ETFs, both underperformers, are sending a consistent, in fact an optimistic, message about the economy for 2013.

    • Play These Sector Rotations

      By Bret Jensen:One of the keys to achieving outperformance as an investor is being aware of and taking advantage of sector rotations within the market. A lot of a portfolio's yearly performance is due to allocations to the right sectors, not necessarily the right stocks. A good example of this in 2012 was investments in the refinery sector.

    • Risk-On Falls Apart: Sector Strength Flashing Red

      Michael Albert submits: There appears to be quite a bit of angst among investors in recent weeks, prompted mostly by the heavy sell off in some high flying commodities. I noted on April 26 in an article I published here on SeekingAlpha that silver, in particular, was very close to a mean reversion moment – a mere two days before the decline. This was not based on a hunch, but rather an analysis of silver's price rise in the prior rolling month relative to all other areas of the investable landscape.

    • U.S. Sector ERC Portfolio Overtakes SPY

      Dr. Oliver Schwindler, CAIA submits: Last week I presented the concept of equally-weighted risk contribution (ERC) portfolios and showed that this risk-based indexation methodology can deliver alpha compared to classical benchmarks like the S&P 500. I want to give readers a quick update on the recent performance.

    • Sector Strength Suggests January Correction May Have Arrived

      Michael Albert submits: On December 27th of last year I published an article titled “Prepare for a January Correction” in which I argued that the performance of lower beta sectors which tend to do well in declines were potentially bottoming relative to the S&P 500.

    • Sector ETF Funds Flows: Investors Favoring Financial, Material, Industrial Sectors

      By Richard Bloch:So far this year, ETF fund flows indicate that investors are putting money to work in several sectors that were out of favor last year.I took at look at the nine major S&P500 sectors. Each stock in the S&P 500 belongs to one of these sectors, and each has its own SPDR Sector ETF. So looking at all nine offers some perspective on what's pushing the index higher this year,These ETFs include:

    • U.S. And Global Sector ETF Portfolios For October

      By Scott's Investments: October's U.S. and Global Sector ETF portfolios have been updated at Scott's Investments. I track the performance of each month's portfolio as well as previous months' performance.

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