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    Is Joe Sixpack's Economy Deep Into A Recession?

    Sat, 06/16/2012 - 12:19 EDT - Seeking Alpha
    • Steven Hansen

    By Steven Hansen:It comes as no surprise to me that many believe we are in a recession. Joe Sixpack's portion of the economy sucks (e.g. not good, for those who are uncertain what "sucks" means).The metric used to gauge economic growth by APP (Academics, Pundits and Politicos) is GDP (Gross Domestic Product). It includes elements which have no direct relationship to Joe. GDP is a metric to understand the economy of the 0.01%, or the country as a whole. Joe lives in a world of income, expenditure and net worth. If Joe sees growth in his world, then his economy is growing.Joe's world is contracting - literally. Instead of looking at aggregate growth, the way to view Joe's world is to look at per capita growth, and specifically at the money flows that involve Joe directly.The graph below shows April 2012 per capita disposable income 0f $37,711 (current dollars)Complete Story »

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    Related

    • Joe Sixpack's Recession - The Sequel

      By Steven Hansen:Last week I presented a picture of Joe Sixpack's portion of the economy being in a recession. Richjoy403 wondered: ….. do you suppose there could be relevant factors affecting Joe's 'world' that are not reflected in your charts?

    • Joe Sixpack Sits in the Economic Dumpster

      Steven Hansen submits:GDP is not the economy for the vast majority of Americans. It is simply money flows. It ignores housing prices. It ignores net worth. It ignores health care. It ignores unemployment. It ignores the education of Joe’s kids. It ignores the play money Joe Sixpack has left over at the end of the month. GDP is a measure for those that believe higher money flows eventually improve the life of Joe Sixpack.

    • Revising how the US calculates GDP will not have a happy ending | Heidi Moore

    • Japan Plunges Into Deep Recession; GDP Shrinks 3.5% Annualized; Japan Current Account Turns Negative First Time in 30 Years; Watch the Yen

      The global economy took another turn for the worse as Japan plunged into recession following two consecutive quarters of growth. Please consider Japan’s economy shrinks annualized 3.5%. Japan’s economy shrank an annualised 3.5 per cent between July and September, the steepest decline since the earthquake-hit first quarter of 2011, as exporters suffered big falls in shipments to key markets such as China and Europe.

    • The Economy Is Killing Joe Sixpack

      By Steven Hansen:I am not a lover of GDP as THE measure of the economy. GDP measures money movement across sectors of the economy that economists have determined is "productive" growth. Nothing is wrong with GDP as "one of many" economic measures which can be used - but it is not an all knowing measure of an economy.When you use any broad measure, at times it misleads.

    • When Will the Recession Be Over?

      6 months ago I figured we could hope than in late 2009 we would see the beginning of the recovery. I am much less optimistic about the later half of 2009 now. The initial reports for the last quarter of 2008 showed GDP Down 3.8%, the worst since 1982. That has now been updated to an annualized decline of 6.2%. Still the economy actually grew for all of 2008 by just over 1%, something I don’t think most people realize.

    • Economy Grew 3.0% Annualized, Faster Than Expected in 4th Quarter; Or Did It?

      Reuters reports Economy grew faster than expected in fourth quarter Gross domestic product expanded at a 3 percent annual rate, the quickest pace since the second quarter of 2010, the Commerce Department said on Wednesday in its second estimate.

    • USA Spends Record $2.5 Tillion, $8,086 per person 17.6% of GDP on Health Care in 2009

      U.S. health care spending increased yet again in 2009, increasing 4%. Total health expenditures reached $2.5 trillion, which translates to $8,086 per person or 17.6% of the nation’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP). This represents yet another record high percentage of GDP taken by health care – for decades, year after year, health care takes more and more of the economic resources of the country.

    • You Shall Know The Velocity of Our Money

      Gross domestic products equals output times the price level (P * Y) which is the same as the money supply times the velocity of money (M * V), ergo recessions (declines in GDP) and inadequate recoveries (failures to catch up to the trend level of GDP) are caused by either declines in the money supply or declines in the velocity of money. What’s the velocity of money?

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