WASHINGTON — Business economists believe the country will see modest growth in 2013 with strength coming from a further rebound in housing which will help offset weakness in business investment. In its latest survey of top forecasters, the National Association for Business Economics says it is looking for the economy to grow in 2013 by 2.1 percent after 2.2 percent growth in 2012. That would continue the same tepid growth the country has seen since the Great Recession ended in mid-2009. Growth at that pace is not strong enough to make a significant improvement in unemployment.
BEIJING — China surprised markets with a thumping trade performance in January as import growth hit a six-month high, drawing some scepticism about the data but still allaying fears of a deepening economic malaise.
Analysts who had expected the long Lunar New Year holiday to drag on January’s trade warned that the figures may be inflated by fake trade transactions, where traders forge deals to sneak cash into the country past capital controls.
Dave here. Keep in mind that the article Black rightfully calls to task cites analysts presuming that a Summers nomination would lead to demonstrably lower economic growth and less job creation. Julia Coronado of BNP Paribas estimated a 0.5%-0.75% reduction in GDP over two years and between 350,000-500,000 fewer jobs.
On Sunday, "60 Minutes" released a damning report on Lumber Liquidators and its practices at factories in China. Following the report, analysts at Piper Jaffray said the report was worse than they had expected.
[4:00 pm ET Sunday] It’s middle of the summer and most days in New York and Toronto the weather is stifling. No matter what time of year, it’s hot money that rules the markets. As capital flooded in on Friday, higher prices made the week because otherwise this one was a loser.
OTTAWA — It may not be smooth sailing after all for the Canadian economy.
Many positive outlooks for growth in 2014 have been buoyed by a stronger-than-expected performance in the third-quarter of last year — along with a pickup in the global economy overall — but some analysts are sounding a more pessimistic tone.
“The consensus view that economic growth will accelerate this year is misplaced,” say economists at Capital Economics.
Senate Democrats have presented their official plan to avoid the sequester, unveiling a bill Thursday that would replace the across-the-board budget cuts for 10 months. The bill, called the American Family Economic Protection Act, includes $110 billion in savings, balanced evenly with spending cuts and new revenues.