Jump to Navigation
Home

Main menu

  • Home
  • News
  • Markets Map
  • Sentiments
  • Topics
  • Data
  • Comments
  • Images
  • Blog
  • About

Secondary menu

  • Latest News
  • Top Rated
  • Most Popular
  • Archive
  • Discussions
  • Mystery Surrounding Collapse Of Hong Kong Mercantile...
  • Government by Eurocrats: The Olive-Oil Dispenser Debacle
  • Credit spreads are moderately attractive
  • DOJ Notified News Corp. About Phone-Record Seizure
  • Victory At Last for Big, Bad, Bayern
  • DOJ Notified News Corp. About Phone-Record Seizure
  • French Soldier Injured in Attack Outside Paris
  • Three More Detained in Soldier's Killing
  • Interpol Rejects Russia Bid to Locate U.K. Investor
  • Nestlé Global Healthy Kids Program Reaches lands Beijing

    It’s back

    Wed, 04/04/2012 - 12:28 EDT - The Economist - Free Exchange Blog
    • RDF10

    “SPAIN is facing an economic situation of extreme difficulty, I repeat, of extreme difficulty, and anyone who doesn’t understand that is fooling themselves.” Thus Mariano Rajoy, Spain’s prime minister, as he tried to shore up support today for an austerity budget presented last week.Mr Rajoy has plenty of evidence to rally the faint-hearted. A bond auction today raised €2.6 billion ($3.4 billion), well below the €3.5 billion maximum target. The average yield on the five-year bonds auctioned this morning rose by almost a full percentage point compared with the previous auction at the start of March. That led other euro-zone sovereign debt downward, too.Spain’s predicament also came up during today’s press conference with Mario Draghi, the president of the European Central Bank, after the ECB agreed to hold interest rates at 1% for another month. Asked what to read into rising Spanish and Italian yields, Mr Draghi said that the issue was less “a symptom of market uneasiness but rather market attention upon fundamentals”. Rough translation: get on with sorting out the public finances.Mr Rajoy deserves a bit of sympathy for the fact that Spain is so much in the spotlight. He has enacted some useful reforms in his three months in office, including on labour markets and the banking system. And he was unlucky that Mario Monti, Italy’s prime minister, came along to steal investors’ hearts just before he took power. But a unilateral move in March to ease Spain’s 2012 budget-deficit target (never mind the economic rights and wrongs of pursuing a bit less austerity) was his own doing, and refocused attention on the country.The question now is whether anxiety turns to panic again. The problem is that it is hard to see obvious triggers that would greatly boost sentiment in the short term. For debtors, the politics of austerity will only get trickier: even Mr Monti’s halo is starting to slip. The euro-zone economy is stagnant: a purchasing managers’ index release today showed another contraction in March, all but ensuring that the zone is in technical recession.As for creditors, euro-zone governments failed to impress with a half-hearted decision to increase the bloc’s bail-out funds last week. And the ECB has little room for manoeuvre. Mr Draghi signalled at his press conference that any talk of unwinding the ECB’s unconventional stimulus measures, which include the provision of €1 trillion of three-year liquidity to euro-zone banks in December and February, was premature. But another dose of liquidity is not on the cards. With few catalysts for good news and lots of reasons to feel nervous about the euro zone’s prospects, Mr Draghi’s assessment looks off-beam. Of course markets are uneasy.  

    • Original article
    • Login or register to post comments
     

    Related

    • Spain's Prime Minister Considers ECB Bond Program While Denying Full Sovereign Bailout; Debt Restructuring Under OMT Not On Table Says ECB; Reflections on "Strict Conditions"

      The Economic Times reports Spain's Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy considers ECB bond programme HELSINKI: Spain is considering asking help from the European Central Bank's bond-buying programme but is not planning a full sovereign bailout, Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy was quoted as saying on Wednesday in Finnish newspapers.

    • 97% Of Spanish Social Security Pension Fund In Domestic Bonds

      In January, we discussed the stunning fact that Spain's social security pension fund was 90% allocated to Spanish sovereign debt. The latest data shows that this farcical epic reach-around has become even more ridiculous as, according to Bloomberg BusinessWeek, the fund's holdings are now 97% weighted to sovereign bonds.

    • Crash in Spanish 2-Year Bond Yield; Monti Calls for More Crisis-Fighting Urgency; No Structural Problems Fixed

      Yield on 10-year Spanish bonds remains stubbornly high near 7%, but yield on 2-year bonds is in the midst of a breathtaking crash. click on any chart for sharper image Spain 10-Year Government Bond Yield

    • EU Bank Writedowns to Exclude Pre-2013 Debt; French Bond Yields Drop Most on Record; Italian Bond Yields Drop Below 7%

      EU officials have hatched a plan to make banks and bondholders take losses for risks, not now of course, but after 2013. In the meantime, taxpayers will shoulder 100% of the losses for bank lending stupidity. On this confidence inspiring news, European bonds rallied sharply. Bloomberg reports EU Bank Writedown to Exclude Pre-’13 Debt

    • Spain Just Issued a Warning: the System is Blowing Up Again

        At this point it is clear that Europe is totally finished. The house is burning. It’s just a matter of time before it collapses.   Indeed, we get a clear signal of this from Spanish Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy, who just announced the following: “It is not enough, there are no green shoots, there is no spring.”   To understand the significance of this statement, you need to know a bit more about Rajoy and European politics in general.  

    • Why today’s ECB press conference will be the most exciting in a long time

      The press conferences following the European Central Bank’s monthly monetary policy decisions have been pretty uneventful as of late. On every first or second Thursday of the month, ECB President Mario Draghi is happy to remind reporters at the ECB press conference just how in control of European sovereign debt markets the central bank is.

    • French Economist Explains Why Mario Draghi Can't Prevent The Bubble In Europe From Bursting

      In July 2012, amid a backdrop of serious uncertainty over the future of the euro, ECB President Mario Draghi told the world that the central bank would "do whatever it takes" to save the currency.

    • Amid austerity cuts, Spain’s Rajoy adds stimulus

      MADRID – Spain’s conservative prime minister is preparing a package of small measures — such as tax breaks for young entrepreneurs — to stimulate the economy even as he vows to stick to budget cuts. Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy, whose popularity has plummeted after a year in the job, will announce the steps on Feb. 20 in his first State of the Union address in an effort win back public trust after severe spending cuts.

    • Spain's Budget Minister says "Serious Budget Shortfalls in All 17 Autonomous Regions"; Primer Minister Announces $19.3 Billion Package of Tax Hikes; Cockroaches and the Theory of the Unexpected

      Spain's prime minister, Mariano Rajoy, has finally admitted three things I have been saying for a long time Spain's regions were in deep fiscal trouble if not bankrupt Spain could not possibly hit its deficit targets for 2012 It is mathematically impossible for Spain to meet deficit goals without raising taxes, no matter how much he insisted otherwise.

    • Draghi drags his feet

    Latest

    Credit spreads are moderately attractive
    Credit spreads are moderately attractive
    Mystery Surrounding Collapse Of Hong Kong Mercantile Exchange Deepens; Four Arrested
    Mystery Surrounding Collapse Of Hong Kong...

    User login

    • Create new account
    • Request new password
    • Click on the icon to sign in with your social network login or enter your Bullfax.com login

    Our Blog

    • Tata Steel, ECB, China’s car market and European Corporate Tax in Our News for Today 05/24/2013
    • Pandora: the charm might fade away
    • Japanese Market, Indian Rupee, China’s Stocks and Oil Prices in Our Daily Round-Up for 05/23/2013

    Markets Map

    Markets Map

    Follow Us

    Follow Us on Facebook, Twitter, Google Plus and RSS LinkedIn Facebook Twitter Google Plus RSS
    S&P 500: 1649.60 -0.06% FTSE: 6654.34 -0.64% Nikk.: 14612.45 0.88% DAX: 8305.32 -0.56% HSI: 22618.67 -0.23% FX: EUR/GBP: 1.1694 USD/EUR: 1.2935 JPY/USD: 101.175 Commodities: Gold: 1386.60

    Bullfax.com - Market News & Analysis 2008-2011
    Contact Us | About Us | Terms & Conditions

    Follow Us on Facebook, Twitter, Google Plus and RSS LinkedIn Facebook Twitter Google Plus RSS .

    Secondary menu

    • Latest News
    • Top Rated
    • Most Popular
    • Archive
    • Discussions