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    Iron-Ore Oversupply Could Impact Rio Tinto

    Wed, 06/22/2011 - 11:58 EDT - Seeking Alpha
    • RIO
    • Trefis

    Trefis submits:

    The average iron-ore price realized by Rio Tinto (NYSE:RIO) has increased historically through 2008 driven by Chinese demand for iron ore and a continuous rise of international sea freight but declined in 2009 due to the economic crisis. Backed by strong global demand post-crisis, Rio’s average iron-ore price increased to $101 per ton in 2010. We expect the average price will continue increasing through 2012 and then decline due to a probable oversupply scenario of iron-ore, which will likely result in declining price for Rio Tinto as well as competitors like BHP Billiton (NYSE:BHP), Vale (NYSE:VALE), and Cliffs Natural Resources (NYSE: CLF). Rio is putting tremendous effort into capitalizing on the vast demand for iron-ore globally. The company recently said in a press statement that it’s accelerating its iron ore expansion program in the Pilbara region of Western Australia with US$676 million funding. [1] Rio also entered into a jointComplete Story »

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    • Rio Tinto's Chinese Contracts Reflect Lower Iron Ore Spot Prices

      Trefis submits: The world's number two iron ore miner, Rio Tinto (NYSE:RIO), will cut its existing iron prices for the Chinese steel mills by 2%-3% for the third quarter. The new pricing will put Rio’s 62% Pilbara Blend fines at $168.85 per tonne for the Q3 compared to $171.35 during Q2, 2011. We estimate that during 2011, the average realized iron ore price for Rio Tinto will be around the $100 per tonne.

    • Key Challenges for Cliffs' Iron Ore Business in North America

      Trefis submits: Cliffs Natural Resources (NYSE:CLF) holds the distinction of being the largest producer of iron ore pellets in North America – a position it reinforced with the acquisition of Consolidated Thompson Iron Mines recently.

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      Trefis submits: Cliffs Natural Resources (NYSE:CLF) could be looking at another good year in 2011. After ending 2010 on an extremely profitable note, the company could get another helping hand from rising global iron ore prices. Cliffs looks poised to capitalize on its position as the largest producer of iron ore pellets in North America.

    • Tensions Rise Between Cliffs and Its Biggest Customers

      Trefis submits: Cliffs Natural Resources (NYSE:CLF) has been able to leverage its position as the largest producer of iron ore pellets in North America to forge long-standing relationships with some of the largest steel manufacturers in the world.

    • Cliffs Resumes Underground Mining Operations at Oak Grove Mine

      Trefis submits: Cliffs Natural Resources (NYSE:CLF) announced that underground mining operations at its Oak Grove mine in Alabama, have now resumed after being stopped abruptly 2 weeks ago - after the mine was hit by severe weather, including a tornado storm on April 28th.

    • Is Cliffs Natural Resources' Losing Its Giant Advantage?

      Trefis submits: Cliffs Natural Resources (CLF) holds the distinction of being the largest producer of iron ore pellets in North America. It is also a major supplier of direct-shipping lump and fines iron ore out of Australia and also a significant producer of metallurgical coal.

    • Cliff's Natural Resources to See 10% Uptick From Acquisition

      Trefis submits: Cliffs Natural Resources (CLF) is an international mining and natural resources company. It is the largest producer of iron ore pellets in North America and a major supplier of direct-shipping lump and fines iron ore out of Australia. It is also a significant producer of metallurgical coal.

    • Cliffs Natural Resources: Cheapest Way To Play Iron Ore Recovery, But 7% Dividend Yield Not Sustainable

      By Qineqt:Iron ore and coal markets have been suffering from oversupply, depressed demand, low prices, and high inventory levels, which have continuously resulted in downward slides. We reiterate our previous recommendation on iron ore of staying cautious in the near-term and being bullish in the long-term.

    • Cliffs' Coal Sales in North American to More than Double

      Trefis submits: Cliffs Natural Resources (CLF) has been reinforcing its position as the largest producer of iron ore pellets in North America. It is also a major supplier of direct-shipping lump and fines iron ore out of Australia. Moreover, in recent years it has forayed into the coal business and is today a significant producer of metallurgical coal.

    • Cliffs Natural Resources' Iron Ore Revenue May Spell Near-Term Upside

      Trefis submits: Cliffs Natural Resources (CLF) has seen growth in revenue from each ton of iron ore sold in North America. The revenue growth can be attributed to increased Chinese demand for iron ore and a continued rise of international sea freight that has pushed iron ore prices upwards. The increase in iron ore prices is also caused by rising global demand for steel sparked by economic growth.

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