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    ING: Global REIT Returns Estimated at 8%-12% for 2011

    Fri, 02/04/2011 - 18:38 EDT - Seeking Alpha
    • Brad Case
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    Brad Case submits:ING Investment Management published its "Global Property Securities 2011 Investment Outlook," detailing measured but very strong expectations for REIT returns globally. (I read about it in an InvestorDaily article by Wouter Klijn, which I found summarized in Real Estate Investment SmartBrief.) The bottom line:We expect total returns for REITs to be in the 8-12% range in 2011. We believe that dividends will continue to be an important component of the total return for listed property companies. We expect the primary driver of real estate company returns in 2011 to be growth in cash flow per share.Here are several additional quotes from the outlook:

    • Earnin

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    Related

    • How Do Currency Movements Affect International REIT Returns?

      Brad Case submits:Ibbotson Associates (part of Morningstar) last month completed a study sponsored by NAREIT about the role of real estate investments in global mixed-asset investment portfolios. One particularly interesting piece is their analysis of the interaction between currency movements and returns to U.S. investors from international REIT holdings.

    • Demand for REITs insatiable as investors chase higher returns

      The best year on record for Canadian publicly-traded real estate just keeps getting better, driven by an insatiable demand from investors for a decent return. The capital markets had raised a total of $8.208-billion in announced deals as of Thursday , including $5-billion in equity, according to CIBC World Markets Inc. That total dollar amount smashed through the $6.255-billion raised in 2011 which was a record.

    • Private REITs Backfire On Investors Again

      By Jake Zamansky:Over the last five years, as investment returns for bonds fell to rates approaching zero, financial advisors plowed their customers' funds into non-publicly traded real estate investment trusts (REITs).These private REITS were widely pitched as "safe and secure" investments whose annual dividend returns were in the 5-8% range, a "no-brainer" for investors seeking yield and safety of principal.

    • TD Tower stake swap sets new high mark for commercial property market

      Two of the country’s largest pension funds have completed a real estate swap at the highest per-square-foot price to date in Canadian commercial property history. Veteran real estate analyst Neil Downey, managing director, global equity at RBC Capital Markets, released a note to investors confirming the deal, which sources indicate is for about $465-million for a 50% stake in TD Canada Trust Tower in Toronto’s financial district.

    • REITs -- Part 1: Rank Equity REIT ETFs By Total Return And Volatility-Based Probable Return

      By Richard Shaw (QVM Group): Equity REITs are of interest to yield seeking investors who also favor hard assets and the prospect of rising portfolio income. In addition to yield, investors should be concerned about total return and volatility, particularly if they are in the withdrawal stage of their economic lives.

    • Will Higher Rates Crimp Real Estate ETFs?

      Tom Lydon submits: Real estate ETFs have bounced in a range so far in 2011 along with Treasury yields, but higher rates could hurt the sector as the borrowing costs of companies and home buyers rise.

    • More Good News for REIT Investors: Private Real Estate Investment 'Floundering'

      Brad Case submits:A report issued today by Preqin, which collects data on private equity investing, details what it calls "real problems" in the private equity approach to real estate investment.

    • REIT Investing for Strong Risk-Adjusted Returns and Diversification

      Brad Case submits:The beginning of any year is a good time to revisit strategic portfolio allocations, and that's especially true at a time of great market dislocation. Here's an analysis that I did originally back in 2007 (and that I update every month) whose conclusions may be useful for portfolio reallocation--and which didn't change throughout the market crisis.

    • New REIT ETF: Stocks Correlation Only 74% Now

      Brad Case submits:Charles Schwab will begin trading a new "Schwab U.S. REIT ETF" (SCHH) on Thursday, January 13. The ETF will track the Dow Jones U.S. Select REIT Index, and will have total annual operating expenses of 0.13%.

    • Sam Zell: Optimistic on Commercial Property Values

      Brad Case submits:Reuters on Wednesday published an article by Ilaina Jonas quoting billionaire real estate investor Sam Zell on the future of commercial property values, and also on global real estate investment. I largely agree with his views.

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