BEIJING (Reuters) - Only China's yuan could rank with the dollar and euro as pillars of the global monetary system, given time and five key tests, Hong Kong's former Monetary Authority chief Joseph Yam was quoted as saying.
LUXEMBOURG (Reuters) - China's yuan currency is gaining importance in international trade and investment and might ultimately challenge the U.S. dollar, European Central Bank Executive Board member Yves Mersch said on Wednesday.
Tired of tapering talk? Well, just a bit more; but, then on to more pressing matters, such as the Occidental/Oriental monetary fulcrum and just upon whom (or what) this seesaw sits. Seems an investment in China might just not be what it seems to be. Think Three Paddy Hat Monty.
China is the world's second largest economy, yet it exercises tremendous capital control including restrictions on its currency, the renminbi. Chinese officials have previously said that they want to make the currency fully convertible by 2015.
Marc Chandler submits:There will not be a statement after this weekend's G7 meeting, but officials will likely take to the microphones and wax on global developments and their pet issues. Host Canadian Finance Minister Flaherty says that foreign exchange issues will be discussed, but this seems to be normally the case, especially given that central banks will be represented.It was up to Japanese Finance Minister Kan to provide a specifics. He said that the Chinese yuan may be debated.Really? Debated?
I remain in "negative awe" of China bulls who think the yuan is going to soon replace the US dollar as the world's reserve currency.As I have pointed out before - China's bond market is nowhere big or liquid enough; China's property bubble is the world's biggest; China's shadow banking system is on the verge of implosion, and Chinese growth is imploding.Readers know full well that I am not prone to US flag-waving.
I really can’t figure out which currency is something I would want to hold if I had the option. It doesn’t really matter, since I am not going to act on it in a very direct way (maybe if I felt very strongly I would do something but it would probably be pretty limited), but I still keep thinking about this issue out of curiosity.
Hao Jin submits:Traditionally, China is blamed for holding its currency at an artificially low level to spur exports. If the yuan appreciates, it would be bullish for everybody but China, because there will be more exports and higher growth in the Europe and US. But it could also lead to higher prices on Chinese goods imported to the US, causing inflation and leading the Fed to hike interest rates sooner. China couldn’t function without massive orders from the US. The U.S.