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    Forget Merkel And Sarkozy: Saint Geithner To The Rescue

    Mon, 12/05/2011 - 16:04 EDT - Seeking Alpha
    • Carlos X. Alexandre
    • DIA
    • EWG
    • EWI
    • EWP
    • EWQ
    • FXE
    • QQQ
    • SPY
    • UUP
    • VTI

    By Carlos X. Alexandre:cAn open mind always looks for different angles on any issue, and the Financial Times had what appeared to be one of those cases with the article “Low growth and high debt is the sovereign curse.” But the conclusion left me wondering as to what exactly those people were thinking. It is really not a problem of debt. It is one of growth. But the economic growth of recent years was debt-fueled. Really? How about borrowing when growth wasn't sufficient to service the expanding debt? Spiegel Online, a German publication, summarized the present European condition quite well in its article, “The Crisis Has Hit the Entire Core of the Eurozone,” while mentioning the German bund debacle. Those who believe the economic situation in the eurozone can only improve are, it seems, sadly mistaken. It goes without saying that the European Financial Stability Fund is nothing but an acronym that soundsComplete Story »

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    Related

    • Timing the End of German Chancellor Angela Merkel and French President Nicolas Sarkozy

      Neither German Chancellor Angela Merkel nor French President Nicolas Sarkozy is likely to survive the European sovereign debt crisis.

    • EU Deal Unravels from Many Sides; Italy, France Bond Spreads Hit Record High vs. Germany; Bund Yield Drops Most on Record; All Out Bond Crisis

      In the wake of Papandreou's Call for Voter Referendum on EU Debt Deal sovereign debt yields plunged in Germany and surged higher in most other European countries, but most notably Italy and France.

    • Clegg fails to back Cable's call for more borrowing to fund capital investment

    • Forget The PIIGS: Now It's About The FIGS

      By Carlos X. Alexandre:cI get the PIIGS acronym and the implied meaning, but going forward, and having run out of food, the PIIGS will eat the FIGS – France, Italy, Germany and Spain. And yes, I know there’s an overlap, but cannibalism is also an option. In short, the FIGS are ripe for the picking, and the question is whether someone will harvest them up before they fall off the tree and rot away. Now there’s talk that the European Central Bank will lend money to the IMF, which in turn will lend to the euro members.

    • Financial Times Saves The Bull, Maybe Ends Bear Market

      By Carlos X. Alexandre:cAs the stock market was ready to take another nasty dive on Tuesday, the Financial Times reported that “EU ministers look at bank aid plans,” and the market recovered in style with the price action easily visible on a 5 minute chart.

    • Keeping a big debt down

      THE years immediately prior to the crisis and up to now were characterised by an enormous run-up in sovereign debt across the rich world. This spike in borrowing has had few recent historical precedents; among advanced economies only the growth in debts associated with the Great Depression and the World Wars were comparable. And historically, it has been extremely difficult to address debts of these magnitudes.

    • Hedging bets on a eurozone debt crisis

      Does Europe need more hedge funds? That was one of the more intriguing questions to come out of a one-day seminar on Europe's sovereign debt crisis I attended this week in Brussels. The event was co-sponsored by the IMF and Bruegel, the respected European think tank, and it was held under the Chatham House Rule, which means I can't tell you who said what. But I can give you a few headlines.

    • European Banks Under Stress

      Edward Hugh submits: After a long and rather tense wait, the initial response to the publication of the European bank stress tests was always going to be something of an anti-climax. Indeed the results should hardly have comes as a surprise to anyone It is hardly breaking news to learn that a number of Spanish cajas will find themselves badly undercapitalised if the economic recovery – as surely might be expected – fails to materialise as planned.

    • Hardest Hit Europe ETFs From First Half of 2010

      ETF Database submits: Just when many investors thought that the world economy was finally back on track, European debt markets were rocked by a crisis of confidence that sparked fresh concerns of a double dip recession and prolonged period of economic contraction. The sovereign debt crisis began earlier this year in Greece, but in recent months has been threatening to spread to much larger economies across Europe, including Italy and Spain.

    • Sovereign Default Risk

      George Magnus is worried about the possibility of sovereign defaults among OECD countries. He says that “[c]oncerted fiscal restraint could trigger another recession,” which sounds to me like an argument for avoiding concerted fiscal restraint. But he says “the lack of it could end up in bigger default risks.” This is obviously true. Concerted restraint would almost by definition reduce default risks. Then again, it could also trigger another recession. That seems like a high price to pay to me.

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