By Nate Cohn and Toni Monkovic Nate Cohn, The Upshot’s elections analyst, and Toni Monkovic, an Upshot editor, looked back at the election and posted a lightly edited transcript of their written exchange. Toni: With the perfect clarity of hindsight, Clinton team members could have written off Iowa, Ohio, Arizona, Georgia early — and focused most of their campaign resources on the Rust Belt. Who knew. Or maybe they should have known? Nate: I think there’s some truth to that, though I’d note that Arizona was only a 4-point race and is now getting a little closer with the late vote.
It is a comparison that many are making. Donald Trump, the presumptive Republican nominee for president, is very similar to Ronald Reagan, the 40th President of the United States and icon of modern conservatism. While these two men share some cosmetic similarities on the surface, in reality they are very different in many ways. Thus, those that are seeking to conclude that a Trump presidency might follow a similar course to that of Reagan’s are likely to discover a much different outcome than they might expect.