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    The Fed Is Pushing on a String

    Thu, 06/02/2011 - 14:02 EDT - Seeking Alpha
    • David Goldman

    David Goldman submits: A picture is worth a lot of words. I've been arguing that despite QE2 there is a chill deflationary wind, because the Fed is pushing on a string. A lot of people talk about "pushing on a string," but I've never seen an accurate depiction of what the string looks like. See the red line in the chart below. The String That the Fed Is Pushing On

    (Click to enlarge)
    I've adjusted total loans and leases at U.S. banks for the return to balance sheet of items previously harbored in off-balance-sheet structures, such as structured investment vehicles. This produced a one-time jump in total loans on balance sheet. As the chart shows, the total credit extended by the U.S. banking system to the private sector is down by 12% from the peak, an astonishing swing, unlike anything we have ever seen in the past. And this occurred through all ofComplete Story »

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