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    Facebook: More Risk Than Reward, Wait For Q2 Earnings Before Investing

    Tue, 05/29/2012 - 04:45 EDT - Seeking Alpha
    • Adam Muller
    • FB

    By Adam Muller:Much has been written on the issues surrounding the Facebook (FB) IPO and I will not rehash them here. The fact is FB is now a public company with a valuation determined by the public markets. At its current price of $32 per share, FB has a market capitalization of ~$77 billion and an enterprise value of ~$55 billion. On all traditional valuation metrics, this is a lofty valuation. It is 15x 2011 sales and 11x Wall Street research's consensus 2012 sales estimate of $5.1 billion, which represents sales growth of 37% over 2011. On an earnings basis, FB is trading at 58x consensus 2012 EPS and 46x consensus 2013 EPS. The consensus estimates imply annualized earnings growth from 2012-2015 of 33%, hardly a growth rate that supports a 50x earnings multiple.At the core of the FB valuation debate is growth. The projected 37% growth rate for 2012 salesComplete Story »

    • Original article
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    • Zillow: A Hot IPO Leads to a Very Full Valuation

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      IPOdesktop submits: Based in Mountain View, California, LinkedIn (LNKD) is scheduling a $263 million IPO with a market capitalization of $3.12 billion at a price range mid-point of $33.50 for Thursday May 19, 2011. Our full IPO Calendar includes three others.

    • Investing: Looking at Microsoft

      For years I have thought Microsoft was in deep trouble and yet they were continuing to generate tons of cash (which is not something to take lightly – it is a very strong signal of a successful business). But the future for them just keeps looking worse and worse, to me. The Windows and Office profit centers seemed doomed to collapse (Ubuntu is a great operating system and you have Open Office and Google doc both of which I find fine). The server business and managing corporate networks is one of the few hopes for Microsoft, I think.

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