Facebook: More Risk Than Reward, Wait For Q2 Earnings Before Investing
By Adam Muller:Much has been written on the issues surrounding the Facebook (FB) IPO and I will not rehash them here. The fact is FB is now a public company with a valuation determined by the public markets. At its current price of $32 per share, FB has a market capitalization of ~$77 billion and an enterprise value of ~$55 billion. On all traditional valuation metrics, this is a lofty valuation. It is 15x 2011 sales and 11x Wall Street research's consensus 2012 sales estimate of $5.1 billion, which represents sales growth of 37% over 2011. On an earnings basis, FB is trading at 58x consensus 2012 EPS and 46x consensus 2013 EPS. The consensus estimates imply annualized earnings growth from 2012-2015 of 33%, hardly a growth rate that supports a 50x earnings multiple.At the core of the FB valuation debate is growth. The projected 37% growth rate for 2012 salesComplete Story »
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