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    ETF Pullback Choices: Quo Vadis Silver

    Thu, 05/12/2011 - 14:10 EDT - Seeking Alpha
    • DBS
    • GCC
    • Marc Gerstein
    • PXE
    • PXJ
    • SIVR
    • SLV
    • UGA

    Last week’s listing for the ETF Pullback strategy (see appendix below for details and performance information) was a pretty bold example of pure technical analysis: buying when subjective analysis clearly dictates otherwise based on an expectation that market dynamics will, at least for a short time (one week in the case of this strategy), produce a counter-intuitive result. Here’s last week’s list, which focused on oil and silver
    :

    • ETFS Silver Trust (SIVR)
    • iShares Silver Trust (SLV)
    • PowerShares DB Silver Fund (DBS)
    • PowerShares Dynamic Energy Explor. & Prod.(PXE)
    • PowerShares Dynamic Oil & Gas Services (PXJ)

    It was a brutal five-day period, incredibly volatile with an ugly ending. If you’ve been paying attention to commodity markets, you know that’s a world-class understatement. If you want to see the visuals, you can check the performance chart Figure 3 in the appendix below.

    Interestingly though, this week’s list continued the theme but pushed theComplete Story »

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    Related

    • ETF Pullback Choices: Living Dangerously With Silver and Oil

      This week's listing for the my ETF Pullback strategy (see Appendix below for details and performance information) probably constitutes as good a reminder as we're likely to see of an important element of technical analysis: buying when analysis clearly dictates otherwise because of an expectation that market dynamics will, at least for a short time (one week in the case of this strategy), produce a counter-analytic outcome. Here's this week's list:

    • ETF Pullback Choices: Betting on the Economy

      The two-week flirtation with silver engaged in by my ETF Pullback strategy (see Appendix below for details and performance information) is over, at least for now. The idea of this technical model is to look for recent corrections in the context of major uptrends, and play the prospect of the correction’s end. Here’s this week’s list :

    • ETF Pullback Choices: Respecting Dartboards and Clueless Forecasters

      Did you ever just look at a list of stocks or ETFs, roll your eyes, and feel tempted to start shopping on line for a dartboard? That’s pretty much how I felt looking this week at the list produced by my ETF Pullback strategy (see Appendix below for details and performance information). Here’s the current list:

    • ETF Pullback Choices: Is There a Silver Lining for Europe?

      My ETF pullback strategy (see appendix below for details and performance information), updated a day early this week based on vacation travel tomorrow, has heavy silver exposure, supplemented by a dash of exposure to other precious metals and European real estate. Here’s the current list:

    • ETF Pullback Choices: Looking for a Breather

      My ETF pullback strategy (see appendix below for details and performance information) is looking for the market to take a breather following a nice bounce off what I had described as an oversold condition back on June 9. Here’s the current list:

    • ETF Pullback Choices: All Energy Plays Are Not Created Equal

      Every now and then, we find little reminders that top-down investing, focusing on broad areas such as countries or sectors, can require more discernment than meets the eye. At first glance, the list produced by my ETF Pullback strategy (see Appendix below for details and performance information) this week looks as straightforward as can be – all energy. Here’s the list :

    • ETF Pullback Choices: Resources And Eastern Europe as a Special Situation Combo

      When I first looked at this week’s listings for my ETF Pullback strategy (see Appendix below for details and performance information), I figured I was in for a big-time change of pace. After two-weeks of all-energy exposure, the list now has a telecom fund, a palladium fund and three Eastern Europe funds, one of which is focused entirely on Russia, the largest country in that region. Here’s this week’s list :

    • ETF Pullback Choices: The Energy Dilemma

      If you ever needed proof that sound bites, one-liners, rules of thumb, etc., however helpful and comforting they may seem, are actually terrible as a tool for making sense of the day-to-day markets, consider energy. That’s the theme of the funds listed now in my ETF Pullback strategy (see appendix below for details and performance information), as was the case last week. Here’s the current list :

    • Appreciating QE2: ETF Pullback Choices

      It looks like QE2 (the second round of “quantitative easing” wherein more dollars are put into circulation in an effort to stimulate the U.S. economy) is the dominant theme for this set of weekly selections from my ETF Pullback model (see Appendix below for explanation and performance data). Here’s this week’s ETF list:

    • ETF Pullback Choices: Diversified Commodities

      Two weeks ago, my weekly ETF Pullback strategy was all-energy. Last week, it remained energy heavy but not quite as pure. Now, it’s pretty much across the board in terms of commodities with energy taking a minor role as precious metals and grains take center stage. Here’s this week’s list:

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