The camp predicting that the European Central Bank will soon cut rates is growing. Economists at Citi, Morgan Stanley, BNP Paribas, Crédit Agricole, Credit Suisse, and a few other shops think the ECB will pull the trigger on Thursday, announcing a cut to its benchmark refinancing rate — which currently stands at 0.25% — by either 10 or 15 basis points.
Ahead of this Thursday's ECB meeting, speculation is rife about what Mario Draghi will announce, and as the following Nomura chart highlights most pundits are convinced that the most likely announcement is a cut in the refi and deposit rate with a probability of around 90%, an LTRO in distant third at 34%, and a full blown QE dead last with 10%.
FRANKFURT — The European Central Bank left interest rates unchanged on Thursday, pausing to assess the health of the eurozone recovery after taking action a month earlier in response to falling inflation, which is now abating.
The decision to hold the main refinancing rate at a record low of 0.25% was widely expected after the ECB’s surprise decision to cut borrowing costs last month.
There is still no official public schedule for the Kansas City Fed's annual Jackson Hole Economic Symposium, anticipated to begin on Thursday. However, as we noted previously, the schedule will not include a keynote address from a high-ranking Federal Reserve official. Furthermore, as Goldman notes, in contrast to tradition, Chairman Bernanke will not be in attendance (Yellen will but Summer won't).
I have a file on my computer containing over 40 detailed job applications for roles that seemed to fit my experience and skills perfectly, which doesn’t include numerous jobs where prospective employers wanted initially to view my CV instead of a specific application form.
The press conferences following the European Central Bank's monthly monetary policy decisions have been pretty uneventful as of late. On every first or second Thursday of the month, ECB President Mario Draghi is happy to remind reporters at the ECB press conference just how in control of European sovereign debt markets the central bank is.