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    The Cool Kids Don't Like Bonds Anymore

    Wed, 03/14/2012 - 22:09 EDT - Seeking Alpha
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    By The Inflation Trader: Global stock markets were the boring markets for a change, as today global bond markets took a potentially meaningful step back. In the U.S., 10-year yields rose 15bps (with no economic data to point to), reaching 2.28%. Yesterday I noted that most of the last week’s rise in yields had come from an increase in inflation expectations; that trend corrected today, as TIPS were also hammered. Ten-year TIPS yields rose 12bps, to -0.10%, implying that the 10-year breakeven rose a mere 3bps. This was not just a U.S. story. The 10-year UK Gilt rose to the highest yield since December, +17bps today. Germany was +13bps today although still in the range; JGBs up to the highest level since December although that’s also only 9bps above the low yield from the last quarter since JGB yields have been effectively ‘pinned’ for a long time. Although in the U.S. our selloff wasComplete Story »

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    • Today in the Capital Markets

      Marc Chandler submits:The US dollar is mixed at the start of the new week. The absence of London markets is serving to dampen turnover. The reluctance of the Bank of Japan to get ahead of market expectations saw the yen recover smartly after the greenback neared JPY86. Initial support for the dollar near JPY84.50 is likely to be tested shortly. For its part, the euro has been confined to its pre-weekend range. Three times in as many sessions, the euro was turned back from approaching $1.2780.

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      IT WAS just a brutal day on European markets, and Spain and Italy found themselves squarely in the crosshairs. Italian and Spanish equities were down over 4% and nearly 6% respectively. Yields on 10-year Spanish debt touched a new crisis high and 2-year debt yields rose over 11%. Italy's long-term yield rose back above 6%. The euro continued its swoon.

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    • Global Macro Notes: Winds Blow Cold for Bonds and Gold

      On February 14th — one month ago — we pondered “Long Bonds and Yen: Big Shorts for 2012?” Japan’s currency (which we short circa Feb 14) has been in freefall the past four weeks, from 77 to 83 yen to the dollar. (As the yen declines in value, USDJPY rises.) And now, this week, we may be seeing the long bond breakdown:

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