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    Consumer Sector Faces March Madness

    Sat, 03/17/2012 - 00:15 EDT - Seeking Alpha
    • JCP
    • Markos Kaminis
    • SHLD
    • SPY
    • XLY
    • XRT

    mkaminisBy Markos Kaminis (Wall St. Greek): The close to the week offered up a sour tasting consumer report, and given the slew of related data produced this week, we thought we would take a look at the state of the American consumer today. The latest reporting of consumer confidence put a dent into the roaring market's rise, with the SPDR Dow Jones Industrials Average ETF looking tired Friday. What I see in store for retail and the consumer discretionary sector is not as savory as the profits logged year-to-date therein.On the week, we received at least five consumer relevant economic reports, including the Reuters/University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index, Retail Sales, Consumer Price Index, Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index and the ICSC -Goldman Store Sales data. None of it really stymied the market's rise through the week, with the SPDR S&P 500 Index ETF (NYSE: SPY gaining 2% through Friday's close. In fact, I suspect Friday'sComplete Story »

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    Related

    • Consumer Confidence Falls To 5-Month Low

      By Markos Kaminis (Wall St. Greek): After falling precipitously in May, Consumer Confidence fell even further this month, to a 5-month low.

    • Regarding The Consumer Sentiment Party - I Have Other Plans

      By Markos Kaminis (Wall St. Greek): Rejoice oh troubled masses of American investors, the consumer has been reported still living. Yes, the dead and depressed are walking and talking, and according to the headlines of the popular press, they are in a better mood for shopping too.

    • Consumer Demise No Surprise

      By Markos Kaminis (Wall St. Greek): In a recent article entitled, "Consumers Signal Recession Coming," we highlighted the deteriorating trend of the Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index over the past several weeks.

    • Economic Reality Check This Week

      By Markos Kaminis (Wall St. Greek): The market's rise since the start of the year on the resolution (of sorts) of the fiscal policy blockage is well documented and deserved in my opinion. With the debt ceiling resolved (or displaced) as well, most of what bothered investors was cleared away.

    • Consumer Confusion? Why Retail Sales Differ From Sentiment

      Markos Kaminis (Wall St. Greek) submits: The past couple weeks of data have offered an image of what appears to be an improving consumption environment. However, last Friday's Reuters/University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Survey produced a conflicting report showing a souring of sentiment.

    • Dueling Consumer Confidence Reports

      1.

    • Tuesday’s ETF to Watch: Consumer Discretionary Select SPDR

      ETF Database submits: Equity markets have been very choppy as of late, as traders remain unsure of the market’s direction going into the summer. With details of the financial reform, Gulf oil spill and the recent G-20 summit swirling, uncertainty is running high as the curtain falls on the second quarter. However, recent news on the consumer front may suggest that things have bottomed out.

    • Retail Sales Up Scant .1% in December, Core Retail Sales Decline; Chart of Retail Sales Adjusted for Population Growth and Inflation

      Following all the glowing retail sales reports for Christmas, the actual numbers reported today show a mere .1% rise. Excluding autos which rose 1.5%, retail sales actually declined. MarketWatch reports U.S. retail sales rise scant 0.1% in December Sales at U.S. retailers increased 0.1% in December, the government said Thursday, in a report that bucked expectations of stronger sales during the holiday period.

    • The Consumer Is Still Not on Board

      Dr. Stephen Leeb submits:Despite some positive economic news that has come out in recent weeks, one area of the economy that has yet to show real signs of improvement is retail spending. American consumers are still reeling from the near collapse of the U.S. economy, and nearly 10 percent of them don’t have a job (many more if you count partially employed). This raises doubts about the sustainability of the recovery, given that personal consumption accounts for roughly 70 percent of U.S.

    • Sentiment Indicators Are More Bearish Than Generally Reported

      Lee Adler submits:Last November, the University of Michigan and Reuters stopped allowing third parties to update their Michigan Sentiment Index Charts. Maybe that’s because they didn’t want you to see how deep in the toilet we really are. Reuters is now apparently paying the University to keep the charts secret, just like Bloomberg paid off ABC News to buy and keep their Consumer Comfort long term historical data out of the pubic eye.

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