Case-Shiller: Home prices falling faster

Wed, 12/29/2010 - 06:06 EDT -

Home prices in the U.S. nosedived in October, with the worst declines coming from areas with high numbers of foreclosures.The chart below depicts the annual returns of the 10-City and the 20-City Composite Home Price Indices. In October 2010, the 10-City and 20-City Composites recorded annual returns of +0.2% and -0.8%, respectively. October was the fifth consecutive month where the annual growth rates moderated from their prior month’s pace, confirming a clear deceleration in home price returns. The 10-City Composite posted a +0.2% annual growth rate in October, versus the +5.4% reported five months prior in May, and the 20-City Composite has now reentered negative territory, down 0.8% in October versus its +4.6% May print.Source: S&P Indices, December 28, 2010.“The double-dip is almost here, as six cities set new lows for the period since the 2006 peaks. There is no good news in October’s report. Home prices across the country continue to fall.” says David Blitzer, Chairman of the Index Committee at Standard & Poor’s. “The trends we have seen over the past few months have not changed. The tax incentives are over and the national economy remained lackluster in October, the month covered by these data. Existing homes sales and housing starts have been reported for both October and November, and neither is giving any sense of optimism. On a year-over-year basis, sales are down more than 25% and the months’ supply of unsold homes is about 50% above where it was during the same months of last year. Housing starts are still hovering near 30-year lows. While delinquency rates might have seen some recent improvement, it is only on a relative basis. They are still well above their historic averages, in both the prime and sub-prime markets.”Blitzer shares his analysis in the following interview:Source: CNBC, December 28, 2010.Did you enjoy this post? If so, click here to subscribe to updates to Investment Postcards from Cape Town by e-mail.

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Case-Shiller: Home Prices Falling Faster
Prieur du Plessis submits: Home prices in the U.S. nosedived in October, with the worst declines coming from areas with high numbers of foreclosures.
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If there is one admirable thing about the Case Shiller Home Price Index report (which sadly shows data for February so a nearly three month delay) is that even according to its authors, it is the Non-Seasonally Adjusted number that is representative of what is going on in housing. And, as the chart below shows, very little is going on as the broader price level continues to undulate in a very tight range with little real moves to the up or downside.

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Case-Shiller: Home prices falling faster

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