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    Analysis: Power price declines bode ill for German economy

    Wed, 06/20/2012 - 10:26 EDT - Yahoo! Business News
    • YahooBizNews

    LONDON (Reuters) - A steep decline in German electricity prices suggests firms are preparing for harder economic times ahead, reinforcing the grim outlook seen in leading indicators of economic sentiment published this week. Germany has so far weathered the sovereign debt crisis that has gripped much of Europe during the past year, but German wholesale electricity prices have dropped more than 20 percent since April, Reuters data shows. ...

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    Related

    • Analysis: Power price declines bode ill for German economy

      LONDON (Reuters) - A steep decline in German electricity prices suggests firms are preparing for harder economic times ahead, reinforcing the grim outlook seen in leading indicators of economic sentiment published this week.

    • Collapsing Consumer Confidence Portends Danger Ahead

      Consumer sentiment dropped to 54.9 from 63.7 in July, according to preliminary University of Michigan/Thomson Reuters index released Friday. Consensus had expected a reading of 61. The consumer confidence gauge confirms my thesis, discussed here, that depressed investor, consumer and managerial sentiment in August would cause the economic data published in September to be horrible.

    • Bill Cara's Week in Review #3, 2012

      [1:12pm ET Monday MLK Holiday] It’s not so easy to write about capital markets after being immersed for a week in a radically different culture as far removed from capitalism as one can imagine in this day and age. However, they say that when you fall off the horse, it’s best to quickly remount. So, here I am, back in the saddle. As for the markets this week, let’s see what happened regarding the Economy, Currencies, Bonds, Equities, Commodities and Precious Metals. I cannot sum it up in advance as in my study I will be looking at the latest data for the first time myself.

    • Canada’s economic ranking improves, but only because of crises in other countries

      MONTREAL — A new report says Canada has moved up its economic ranking to sixth out of 16 countries — but it’s mostly due to the weakness of other countries. The Conference Board of Canada says the country has retained its “B” grade and improved its ranking from 11th since its last report card in pre-recession 2008, adding that part of the reason the surge is because some European countries going through tough times.

    • Summary Of Key Events In The Coming Week

      It's a quiet week in macro, but that doesn't mean there is nothing going on. Here is a summary of the key events happening in the coming week via GS and SocGen.

    • Lagarde Shows True Colors

      The Financial Times says IMF challenges Berlin’s crisis response The International Monetary Fund on Thursday challenged Berlin’s game plan for pulling the eurozone out of its crisis by advocating a series of short-term fixes that the German government has resisted.

    • Merkozy Proposes Quick, New, Drastic "Stability Pact" to Fight the Euro Zone Sovereign Debt Crisis; Maastricht Treaty Trashed by Committee

      German chancellor Angela Merkel and French President Nicolas Sarkozy proposed a "quick new stability pact" that allegedly will bypass the need for treaties. However, there is already disagreement over the role of the ECB. Please consider Germany, France plan quick new Stability Pact

    • This Week in Currencies: The Euro's Sinking Feeling

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      Cliff Wachtel submits: Likely Market Movers To Watch This Week: Speculation About A Bigger Bailout Fund To Cover Spain: Many EU officials want it in order to kill off speculative attack on to-big-to-bail Spain, but Germany is thus far resisting the idea and thus helping keep anxiety high about spreading contagion to Portugal and Spain.One Or More Wildcards EU sovereig

    • Sovereign Default Risk

      George Magnus is worried about the possibility of sovereign defaults among OECD countries. He says that “[c]oncerted fiscal restraint could trigger another recession,” which sounds to me like an argument for avoiding concerted fiscal restraint. But he says “the lack of it could end up in bigger default risks.” This is obviously true. Concerted restraint would almost by definition reduce default risks. Then again, it could also trigger another recession. That seems like a high price to pay to me.

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